TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under50c70,466$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0003754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c22,465$11,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,160.632,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c21,882$10,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,94156152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over56c20,671$11,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,192.811,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6218…f388backed Under38c19,856$7,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,562.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c11,729$5,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,878.231,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over62c6,641$4,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.021,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c4,082$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.631,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over52c3,800$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8248348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Under50c2,394$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a81…aa82backed Over50c2,394$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1971346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94061953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over61c1,855$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.82,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70536038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c1,455$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.182,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fa…1a8dbacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8863…d6f0backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d86…7072backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c8…7507backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6563…8dbbbacked Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7d…e578backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077a…5df6backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6716…b9d1backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa712…8cc1backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6147…931bbacked Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd19b…73dfbacked Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…7ecbbacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc409…6d8bbacked Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde5e…8c59backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6718…3482backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea4…a02cbacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa5…7e98backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777c…c639backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162e…f849backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92e2…d3b8backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…5983backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b2…3955backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf4…6b22backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3d…b590backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…f38dbacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c3…aacfbacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd806…6ea8backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09c…1402backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d7a…cc27backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb0…ce13backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebb…7141backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4657…d87fbacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…741dbacked Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9d…bb38backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe335…69dbbacked Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e4…02edbacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…438dbacked Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d00…a348backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…67b9backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe629…4167backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f2…3797backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…6a1cbacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9871…bee5backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3a…5b3dbacked Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d44…1248backed Over49c1,440$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dff…4341backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d7…8877backed Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4d…4d3abacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd7…a26cbacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf882…886abacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50083149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2608368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c990.38$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.21,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Over52c865.84$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.846946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over57c839$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.757838.5%30 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35053337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c633$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.161,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c502.36$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1130855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under49c489$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd80…eb96backed Under48c399.83$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.922040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6216056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over74c267$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.21,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under48c183.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2539649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7769653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478949.4%44 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under44c98.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3849045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023158%134 W · 97 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over50c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.547944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.021,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…2f7dbacked Over61c59.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136040%24 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Over51c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512735.4%45 W · 82 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over53c48.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6478651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c47.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under47c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2178038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bef…18b0backed Under48c40.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Over62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.24348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Over51c30.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.743043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.574054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Under36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeba…d2d8backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159149.5%45 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.