NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Suns

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a76bff1f221305aa7abc8a224a1f0b85c7914854218f49decdba046a5b033f

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sunsof Wizards, Suns
Resolved: Jan 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $639,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $607,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,714 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Wizards	13c	40,400$5,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,252	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Wizards	13c	31,049$4,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,036.36	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	13c	25,126$3,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,210.14	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards	13c	22,251$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Wizards	13c	21,000$2,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,730	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards	12c	20,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.99	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ada…fb3fbacked Wizards	13c	19,470$2,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,531.12	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Wizards	13c	15,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.99	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Wizards	14c	14,290$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.66	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	14,161$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	0c	12,945$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.37	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Wizards	13c	11,130$1,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,446.89	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	14c	10,100$1,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,414	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Wizards	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.99	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.99	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	9c	9,271$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.98	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Wizards	14c	8,893$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	5c	7,083$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.24	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards	7c	6,402$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Wizards	13c	6,385$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.11	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Wizards	12c	5,677$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.29	129	38.8%50 W · 79 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	6c	5,475$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.5	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Wizards	13c	4,830$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.9	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards	5c	4,296$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.22	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Wizards	5c	4,051$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.36	103	4.9%5 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Wizards	14c	4,006$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.78	397	44.3%176 W · 221 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wizards	14c	4,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wizards	1c	4,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed Wizards	2c	3,321$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.45	101	19.8%20 W · 81 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Wizards	13c	3,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	190	48.4%92 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Wizards	5c	2,647$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards	14c	2,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Wizards	13c	2,500$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Wizards	13c	2,436$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.68	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Wizards	13c	2,400$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.98	226	33.2%75 W · 151 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Wizards	7c	2,394$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Wizards	13c	2,310$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.3	355	31.8%113 W · 242 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards	9c	2,195$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.86	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Wizards	14c	2,143$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	207	28.5%59 W · 148 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x494e…c549backed Wizards	13c	2,120$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.65	118	36.4%43 W · 75 L	-12.3wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcccb…e141backed Wizards	3c	2,063$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.26	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Wizards	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	180	45%81 W · 99 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Wizards	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x829d…61b6backed Wizards	4c	1,759$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	84	28.6%24 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	3c	1,725$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.96	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Wizards	11c	1,571$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.26	247	25.9%64 W · 183 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards	13c	1,500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.99	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wizards	8c	1,436$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.87	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards	8c	1,302$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.92	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Wizards	10c	1,235$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.16	230	43%99 W · 131 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Wizards	10c	1,229$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.02	155	14.8%23 W · 132 L	-28.1wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	33-0.16 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	13c	1,200$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.01	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Wizards	12c	1,190$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x512e…4f1bbacked Wizards	13c	1,106$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.76	70	30%21 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked Wizards	5c	1,100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	79	30.4%24 W · 55 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Suns	80c	1,090$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.97	605	49.8%301 W · 304 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Wizards	14c	1,071$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d6…ac41backed Wizards	14c	1,037$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.18	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.49per pick	26cpaid	+210.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7302…f26fbacked Wizards	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Wizards	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	211	39.8%84 W · 127 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4752…2a91backed Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-57%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Wizards	1c	999.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Wizards	13c	929.76$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.87	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Wizards	14c	928.57$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	253	47%119 W · 134 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Wizards	16c	914.05$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Wizards	14c	900$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	407	26%106 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd3…bdbcbacked Wizards	14c	892.86$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wizards	12c	888$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.59	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards	13c	883.54$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.86	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b26…7fa1backed Wizards	20c	868.57$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Wizards	2c	859.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	146	28.1%41 W · 105 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc526…bf92backed Wizards	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+25%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f83…8c23backed Wizards	13c	799.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wizards	14c	735.16$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.72	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Wizards	14c	717.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed29…01f1backed Wizards	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…b807backed Wizards	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Wizards	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Wizards	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	279	50.5%141 W · 138 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Wizards	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	20.1%35 W · 139 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bca…d32cbacked Wizards	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x220b…4659backed Wizards	14c	712$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.68	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.15per pick	15cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Wizards	13c	700$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Wizards	5c	700$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	337	30.3%102 W · 235 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2767…886abacked Wizards	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards	13c	664.17$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.07	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards	13c	650$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.5	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed Wizards	7c	624.96$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.75	265	29.1%77 W · 188 L	-23.9wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Wizards	14c	600.07$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.01	146	47.9%70 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Wizards	13c	600$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Wizards	13c	591.87$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.94	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Wizards	13c	560$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	539	39.5%213 W · 326 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Wizards	8c	555.23$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.23	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Wizards	5c	544.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	69	24.6%17 W · 52 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Wizards	2c	542.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	208	26%54 W · 154 L	-16.0wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-38%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Suns

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event