NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Suns: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x037ffbccaa3887f6c00ed46f9f3ccc8fd919e5d4a6a12bc95ea3c55f71cf7f79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Over | 54c | 55,614$30,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,192.45 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 37,699$17,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,866.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 16,042$7,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,680.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 52c | 14,726$7,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,677.32 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 47c | 7,000$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 6,941$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.17 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 49c | 6,087$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.21 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 5,455$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.85 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 4,710$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 3,005$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 2,157$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.03 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 2,085$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.62 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 1,925$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.22 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Over | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 1,730$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.95 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 1,562$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.96 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,283$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.1 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 1,011$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.95 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 53c | 1,000$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.7 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 53c | 865.91$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.93 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…098ebacked Over | 53c | 858.49$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 823$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.5 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 778$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 699.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 50c | 688.8$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 621$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 49c | 595.81$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.99 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Over | 55c | 556.11$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 46c | 538$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.32 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 462.16$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.23 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 53c | 377.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.76 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 49c | 327.37$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 277.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Over | 54c | 258.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 47c | 256.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 192$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 48c | 173$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 49c | 135.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 123.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 53c | 93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…8da8backed Under | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 49c | 83.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…9764backed Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 46.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 47c | 45.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 46c | 39.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 30.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 47c | 29.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 46c | 29.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 53c | 29.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Suns: O/U 229.5this page
- Spread: Suns (-13.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-14.5)Suns won
- Wizards vs. SunsSuns won
- Wizards vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.