TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f7b…8404

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$97.8
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$73.08
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+505%+$57.99
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.58
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.23
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.52
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$34.73
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$103.54
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$49.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.24
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$21.34
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$83.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-70.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$203
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$348
All 5 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+314.1%+$302.13
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$53.25
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$308.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$163
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$20.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.