TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$339,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Team Liquid54c20,761$11,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,466.7753750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked LYON48c15,518$7,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,435.7567760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed LYON5c9,861$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.4397427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid55c9,466$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.8419150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LYON50c8,555$4,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.821,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Team Liquid74c7,690$5,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.971,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed LYON44c6,756$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.651,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed LYON45c6,745$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.0331036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid49c6,551$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.4675942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LYON45c6,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.9996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Team Liquid56c6,490$3,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.552259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Liquid49c5,596$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.7646637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f5…b1c6backed Team Liquid65c5,125$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.284774.5%35 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LYON41c5,028$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.751,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Team Liquid52c4,919$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.2117041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON52c4,626$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.482,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Team Liquid50c4,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Liquid50c3,715$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.1990537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked LYON46c3,644$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.0642941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked LYON46c3,426$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.969823.5%23 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked Team Liquid56c3,112$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.6720339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Team Liquid56c2,870$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.117228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed LYON46c2,540$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.591,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed LYON49c2,377$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.4954246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed LYON8c2,334$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+182.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed LYON9c2,306$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.191,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed LYON20c2,278$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.3244042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed LYON45c2,191$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.8350749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Team Liquid57c2,083$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.691,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed LYON47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94017133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed LYON50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x272b…7e75backed LYON46c1,950$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.881154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed LYON25c1,720$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43028827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed LYON51c1,453$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.731,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed LYON42c1,169$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.771,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LYON48c1,164$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.773,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked LYON40c1,162$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.6295951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LYON46c1,091$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.91,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Team Liquid50c1,037$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.5232939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed LYON51c979$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2982554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LYON29c932.6$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7986251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON47c892.25$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.913,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked LYON55c878.86$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47998956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed LYON33c868.48$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9537641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid74c865.12$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6674250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed LYON27c824.52$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.551,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Team Liquid70c775.9$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7715357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed LYON57c757.76$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.3214246.5%66 W · 76 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LYON40c706.2$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.082,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed LYON37c660.28$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6521249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked LYON25c626.35$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5973237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Team Liquid55c619.18$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.631,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed LYON32c571.52$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0310034%34 W · 66 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LYON40c564.06$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.72,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed LYON6c549.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1669841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed LYON7c506.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.131,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed LYON50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LYON33c498.61$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.132,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LYON41c497.25$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7657151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked LYON46c494.32$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3917431%54 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb3…2ab3backed Team Liquid77c490.76$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.013265.6%21 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed LYON53c445.38$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9214336.4%52 W · 91 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed LYON48c421.85$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.491,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Team Liquid48c420.96$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3256341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Team Liquid54c416.58$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8414338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked LYON52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20895847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed LYON15c400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed LYON46c392.75$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1410346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed Team Liquid52c388.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3514348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Team Liquid51c381.27$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.161,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed LYON51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1279151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe547…a35abacked LYON26c362.33$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.136842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed LYON25c343.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5982836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed LYON41c332.79$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7257349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed LYON29c331.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7335533.5%119 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LYON29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.741,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed LYON30c319.01$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.774344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ad…2267backed Team Liquid67c318.65$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7817150.9%87 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Team Liquid62c317.74$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0642847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed LYON50c312.92$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4680832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked LYON11c311.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.141,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed LYON30c309.01$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4262158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Team Liquid65c299.86$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1494134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed LYON25c273.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.651,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Team Liquid59c267.04$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5943358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3966…c918backed Team Liquid55c265.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.414161%25 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Team Liquid50c262.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6338835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked LYON37c259.19$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.132,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked LYON52c257.91$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1132036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Team Liquid77c256.94$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3351247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LYON29c254.84$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.741,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked LYON13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Team Liquid51c229.66$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.216634.8%23 W · 43 L-11.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Liquid50c222$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Team Liquid72c215.46$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.792646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked LYON46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7636040.6%146 W · 214 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda78…f83abacked LYON47c207.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.82853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Team Liquid51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9921548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb4…6884backed Team Liquid49c199.9$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.954022.5%9 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.