TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Team Liquid51c10,587$5,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,187.4653750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON49c9,532$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,670.513,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked LYON41c8,326$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,416.3467760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Team Liquid75c7,469$5,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.571,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid56c7,253$4,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,224.432,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LYON9c6,162$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.121,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked LYON46c5,935$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,746.7942941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid55c5,330$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.9319150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LYON48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40096250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f5…b1c6backed Team Liquid61c4,870$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.054774.5%35 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed LYON1c3,545$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1594134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed LYON45c3,151$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.0917041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Team Liquid59c3,067$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.2383560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked LYON38c2,725$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.6175942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Team Liquid55c2,602$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.0751044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked LYON35c2,582$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.6746637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Liquid53c2,527$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.8595951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LYON46c2,487$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.631,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid74c2,419$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.0491854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed LYON45c2,165$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.315543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked LYON45c2,093$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93590537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Team Liquid56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9989943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked Team Liquid55c1,767$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.8620339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Team Liquid50c1,632$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.5317228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LYON45c1,598$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.231,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed LYON38c1,533$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.7554246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid57c1,532$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.5398956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed LYON24c1,456$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1637641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed LYON50c1,455$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.520454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed LYON47c1,400$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.991,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…7a60backed LYON1c1,350$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614437.5%54 W · 90 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Team Liquid79c1,316$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3721056.7%119 W · 91 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked LYON48c1,250$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.532036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid53c1,164$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.061,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid57c1,117$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.371,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed LYON34c1,093$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9410034%34 W · 66 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Team Liquid61c1,066$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.921,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid77c1,043$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9274250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed Team Liquid52c971.2$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1853047.5%252 W · 278 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed LYON43c927.27$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9112450%62 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa065…b825backed LYON40c926.49$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.82944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x272b…7e75backed Team Liquid53c914.59$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Team Liquid60c898.62$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4557151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed LYON20c881.98$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.635533.5%119 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed LYON45c756.77$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.551118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-60.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Team Liquid68c748.98$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8943358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Team Liquid72c713.49$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2910653.8%57 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed LYON44c699.99$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.991,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Team Liquid55c636.59$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.379151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fb…2f72backed LYON13c574.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed LYON23c548.16$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7842840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid69c524.26$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.323,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked LYON50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017431%54 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f5…40d7backed LYON50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250120%0 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Team Liquid53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3722035.9%79 W · 141 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed LYON22c479.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.628827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed LYON41c475.06$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8731855.7%177 W · 141 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Team Liquid52c466.18$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7656341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed LYON46c423$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.491,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed LYON19c413.24$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.591,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed LYON25c390.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.951,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked LYON25c385.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4951348.3%248 W · 265 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Team Liquid80c379.6$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9532160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LYON32c367.46$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.832,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed LYON42c342.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.850051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked LYON45c328.75$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.643442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid71c325.53$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2473237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed LYON21c319.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9138835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Team Liquid80c310.84$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5541060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked LYON47c279$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4358420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8112…4129backed LYON51c273.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6113065.4%85 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed LYON45c261.45$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.410346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Liquid54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11560538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed LYON21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.521249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Team Liquid76c249.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4429…efc2backed Team Liquid78c247.86$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.536743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed Team Liquid60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.636749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Team Liquid67c242.87$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.431,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Team Liquid53c229.2$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.722075%15 W · 5 L+5.3wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed LYON45c221.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.64734%16 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Team Liquid53c218.28$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8251247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed LYON30c200.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4716941.4%70 W · 99 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Team Liquid55c199.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9999338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked LYON35c195.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.998248.8%40 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7a…a930backed Team Liquid56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.684748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87f1…21fabacked LYON45c192.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.475543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked LYON20c180.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6240546.2%187 W · 218 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed LYON43c179.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2680832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Liquid56c174.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.351,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f7…aebbbacked Team Liquid56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.525850.4%130 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…def4backed Team Liquid56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.511258.9%66 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Team Liquid56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.542847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda78…f83abacked LYON25c170.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed LYON27c156.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.961,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked LYON44c154.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6484041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Liquid60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6086649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a22…fca9backed LYON23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521443.9%94 W · 120 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed LYON40c145.48$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8347933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.