Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x384daf50f3f50de1bd5b5fc4c39d75444f3e0ad2704181a23f677f54d1723d18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof LYON, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed LYON | 23c | 756.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Liquid | 72c | 684.79$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.74 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Liquid | 76c | 585.32$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 655 | 63.2%414 W · 241 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LYON | 24c | 454.26$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Team Liquid | 76c | 442.26$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed LYON | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…0c34backed LYON | 28c | 313.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Team Liquid | 79c | 251.02$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -11.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked LYON | 24c | 200.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 340 | 40.6%138 W · 202 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Team Liquid | 76c | 180.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed LYON | 24c | 174.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Team Liquid | 76c | 157.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Liquid | 79c | 101.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed LYON | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed LYON | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed LYON | 24c | 44.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Team Liquid | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Liquid | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Liquid | 76c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Team Liquid | 76c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.