TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5fe6…0c34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.27
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$41.03
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$27.79
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.75
LoL: RMD Gaming vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-Inbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$26.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.78
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.77
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$50.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$38.83
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.64
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.78
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$94.51
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.76
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$103.41
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.6
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+195.9%+$123.6
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.92
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$42.72
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.81
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.07
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$23.55
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.35
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$110.52
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$102.01
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.38
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.04
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$97.12
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.23
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$58.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.71
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$62.81
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$56.36
Counter-Strike: Acend vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.97
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.93
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$54.4
Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.