Lol · resolved market

LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x242bf87ea363ddd143707d88e0327c874a2fe7c81d61b8b10da424d89a899108

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Estral Esportsof Ei Nerd Esports, Estral Esports
Resolved: May 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,503 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Ei Nerd Esports	19c	1,233$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.37	679	31.8%216 W · 463 L	-31.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ei Nerd Esports	19c	974.12$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.41	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ei Nerd Esports	17c	969.79$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.86	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ei Nerd Esports	11c	948.87$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.01	208	26.9%56 W · 152 L	-13.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Estral Esports	80c	807.12$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.42	1,521	50.6%769 W · 752 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Ei Nerd Esports	8c	732.63$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.59	1,063	47.2%502 W · 561 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Ei Nerd Esports	15c	656.43$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.65	129	37.2%48 W · 81 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Ei Nerd Esports	18c	506.56$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.18	438	37.9%166 W · 272 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c248backed Ei Nerd Esports	20c	501.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	35.9%60 W · 107 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ei Nerd Esports	9c	486$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.74	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…0c34backed Ei Nerd Esports	15c	474.47$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.27	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Ei Nerd Esports	13c	437.56$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.89	306	43.1%132 W · 174 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Ei Nerd Esports	7c	411.36$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	780	43.1%336 W · 444 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ei Nerd Esports	12c	362.94$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.43	1,079	26%281 W · 798 L	-99.0wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54bf…e2d0backed Ei Nerd Esports	15c	352.43$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.42	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ei Nerd Esports	19c	246.2$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.78	166	34.9%58 W · 108 L	-19.4wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Estral Esports	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Estral Esports	79c	178.42$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.47	108	55.6%60 W · 48 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ei Nerd Esports	13c	164.71$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Ei Nerd Esports	18c	150.05$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Ei Nerd Esports	21c	149.56$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.41	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ei Nerd Esports	13c	129$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.38	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Ei Nerd Esports	19c	117$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.06	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Estral Esports	78c	109.65$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.12	2,156	53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Ei Nerd Esports	18c	99.64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	244	34.4%84 W · 160 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Estral Esports	75c	82.12$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.12	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ei Nerd Esports	18c	75.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	797	45.8%365 W · 432 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Ei Nerd Esports	20c	51$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	222	39.6%88 W · 134 L	-21.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17d3…be06backed Ei Nerd Esports	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Estral Esports	79c	37.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Estral Esports	76c	15.65$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.73	1,539	43.7%673 W · 866 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsthis page
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs Ei Nerd Esports (+1.5)Estral Esports won
Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs Ei Nerd Esports (+2.5)Estral Esports won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports - Game 1 WinnerEstral Esports won
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports - Game 2 WinnerEstral Esports won
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports - Game 3 WinnerEstral Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event