Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5dc6c2fe81dac7dd8b6debc8939446805411486e5cc3ac6b63d57b7df14e3e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof Ei Nerd Esports, Estral Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Ei Nerd Esports | 26c | 1,322$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Estral Esports | 77c | 757.95$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ei Nerd Esports | 4c | 709.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Ei Nerd Esports | 27c | 528.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Ei Nerd Esports | 28c | 508.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Ei Nerd Esports | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Estral Esports | 70c | 447.78$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Estral Esports | 73c | 405.71$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Estral Esports | 76c | 310.12$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Ei Nerd Esports | 32c | 270.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Estral Esports | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Estral Esports | 65c | 249.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Ei Nerd Esports | 29c | 240.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed Ei Nerd Esports | 35c | 234.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Ei Nerd Esports | 33c | 210.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed Ei Nerd Esports | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Estral Esports | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ei Nerd Esports | 25c | 197$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Ei Nerd Esports | 22c | 182.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ei Nerd Esports | 7c | 164.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Ei Nerd Esports | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Estral Esports | 70c | 142.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ei Nerd Esports | 31c | 140.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ei Nerd Esports | 10c | 111.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ei Nerd Esports | 27c | 107.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Ei Nerd Esports | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Estral Esports | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Estral Esports | 75c | 99.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Ei Nerd Esports | 34c | 89.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Estral Esports | 59c | 87.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Estral Esports | 73c | 84.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ei Nerd Esports | 29c | 70.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Ei Nerd Esports | 28c | 63.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Ei Nerd Esports | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Estral Esports | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Estral Esports | 74c | 44.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Estral Esports | 71c | 41.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Estral Esports | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e1…fe21backed Estral Esports | 76c | 39.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Ei Nerd Esports | 29c | 35.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Estral Esports | 70c | 33.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Estral Esports | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Ei Nerd Esports | 40c | 30.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed Estral Esports | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Estral Esports | 71c | 21.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Estral Esports | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs Ei Nerd Esports (+1.5)Estral Esports won
- Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs Ei Nerd Esports (+2.5)Estral Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsEstral Esports won
- LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports - Game 2 WinnerEstral Esports won
- LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports - Game 3 WinnerEstral Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.