TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Acend vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acendof Acend, MOUZ NXT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9bad…861fbacked MOUZ NXT21c2,539$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.741668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ NXT17c2,401$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.382,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Acend49c2,068$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.6516447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked MOUZ NXT1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT49c1,492$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.397,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Acend77c1,220$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.721,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked MOUZ NXT1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed MOUZ NXT1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed MOUZ NXT1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Acend55c998.99$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5436253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Acend73c989.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.1515264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked Acend72c694.16$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.874557.8%26 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Acend53c618.66$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Acend56c611.38$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.854,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Acend55c550.76$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1575056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe6…0c34backed MOUZ NXT18c504.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.971625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Acend75c493.32$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.155,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Acend56c473.37$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2816850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Acend57c433.95$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.115,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed MOUZ NXT28c420.26$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.413950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed MOUZ NXT24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9633237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ NXT43c317.65$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.641,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a4…133ebacked MOUZ NXT31c311.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.931844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Acend80c287.08$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3935449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked MOUZ NXT17c275.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1922838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed MOUZ NXT56c259.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1447447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Acend62c237.52$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9748562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed MOUZ NXT45c221.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8923146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked MOUZ NXT47c218.81$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8417055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked MOUZ NXT42c209.89$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8127549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed MOUZ NXT43c207.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3718850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b86…dd8fbacked MOUZ NXT47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5f…cd03backed MOUZ NXT25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506566.2%43 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked MOUZ NXT45c199.05$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1648845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked MOUZ NXT49c197.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9412839.8%51 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Acend73c190.68$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.576,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Acend52c179.95$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.744136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Acend55c175.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8121653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Acend60c168.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1447641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed MOUZ NXT37c157.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.841,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT46c149.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked MOUZ NXT11c144.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.418515.3%13 W · 72 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid+15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58be…e6d7backed MOUZ NXT44c138.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.813754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Acend58c138.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.332,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked MOUZ NXT44c137.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.325042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Acend54c117.72$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6511952.1%62 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked MOUZ NXT47c116.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.535752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed MOUZ NXT44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.324562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf740…09c1backed Acend76c109.49$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.281553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Acend55c109.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9264854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed MOUZ NXT41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4132845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Acend55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4527647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Acend76c98.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3627544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd6…9d99backed MOUZ NXT60c95.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.283842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e87…3f34backed MOUZ NXT41c80.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Acend78c78.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2622256.8%126 W · 96 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT27c78.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.072,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed Acend55c74.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7532951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked MOUZ NXT46c73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5311341.6%47 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked MOUZ NXT27c72.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6927015.2%41 W · 229 L-41.9wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-54.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Acend79c71.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0340652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked MOUZ NXT36c67.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0826546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked MOUZ NXT27c66.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.051963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc007…a0edbacked Acend56c66.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0420544.4%91 W · 114 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Acend71c64.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.935653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Acend56c64.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.216464.6%106 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked MOUZ NXT36c63.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.822542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed MOUZ NXT26c59.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.255853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Acend55c57.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.862665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed MOUZ NXT47c53.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8833950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbb…823ebacked MOUZ NXT23c50.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Acend58c47.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9111254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed MOUZ NXT45c43.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6126245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Acend55c43.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.357958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked MOUZ NXT41c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8110545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…db98backed Acend67c40.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.45666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe58e…2ee8backed MOUZ NXT27c36.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Acend64c31.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4656454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8932…1cc4backed Acend79c31.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67751.9%40 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2d0…bf0cbacked MOUZ NXT41c31.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.836445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Acend79c31.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.468475%63 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed MOUZ NXT47c31.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5218043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a84…af78backed MOUZ NXT45c26.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.757131%22 W · 49 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed MOUZ NXT42c25.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5479951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Acend56c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8122650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed MOUZ NXT52c24.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5873948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked MOUZ NXT42c24.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Acend55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93560%21 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Acend80c18.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.758988.8%79 W · 10 L+10.3wins+0.12per pick77cpaid+14.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.