CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x039f26db165509f9b70c3405f88cdd4af5eb1627d02b733a362109ccc2ce5781
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ NXT | 19c | 5,640$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.35 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Acend | 62c | 1,346$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.06 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 1,160$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.76 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed MOUZ NXT | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 774.2$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed MOUZ NXT | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed MOUZ NXT | 2c | 518.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Acend | 77c | 505.44$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 59c | 387.77$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Acend | 52c | 386.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 477 | 41.7%199 W · 278 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 340.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Acend | 64c | 313.23$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Acend | 60c | 277.18$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 205.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…3cd7backed Acend | 66c | 193.63$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed MOUZ NXT | 8c | 181$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Acend | 78c | 174$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Acend | 45c | 157.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…cdddbacked MOUZ NXT | 31c | 150.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked MOUZ NXT | 22c | 145.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Acend | 64c | 135$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Acend | 70c | 129.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 93.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…a3d6backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 86.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…fbfbbacked Acend | 70c | 83.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked MOUZ NXT | 35c | 82.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 412 | 54.9%226 W · 186 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Acend | 63c | 80.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Acend | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Acend | 35c | 72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 65.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Acend | 58c | 43.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 41.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Acend | 49c | 41.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…7a60backed Acend | 67c | 39.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Acend | 63c | 38.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 31.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Acend | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 29.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Acend | 70c | 27.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked MOUZ NXT | 59c | 27.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Acend | 49c | 26.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerAcend won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.