TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof LOS, RED Canids
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed RED Canids59c13,454$7,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,487.6427753.1%147 W · 130 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed LOS18c5,378$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.431,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed LOS1c4,621$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2144120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOS16c4,186$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.962,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked LOS37c3,409$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.311,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed RED Canids63c3,393$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.1527957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked RED Canids70c2,980$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.7384360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed LOS37c2,831$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.876639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked RED Canids60c2,661$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.442,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed LOS40c2,453$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.641,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed LOS10c2,282$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.8765047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed LOS2c2,266$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9289746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LOS35c2,237$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.963746.5%296 W · 341 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed LOS14c1,788$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.891,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed LOS16c1,633$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8110034%34 W · 66 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked LOS41c1,521$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.1670456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked LOS36c1,483$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.324744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed RED Canids71c1,459$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.0485942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOS41c1,421$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.8190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids66c1,253$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.731,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked RED Canids59c1,219$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.231,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LOS41c1,219$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.791,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked LOS41c1,205$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.9660847.9%291 W · 317 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LOS39c1,081$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3296350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked RED Canids59c780.32$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.931,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed LOS20c779.83$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9382953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0d…5960backed LOS14c770.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.876639.4%26 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed RED Canids59c749.18$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.1686451.4%444 W · 420 L+52.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed RED Canids70c705.57$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.77368.5%50 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed LOS41c699.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28771249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked LOS47c699.22$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2912047.5%57 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LOS29c674$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.921,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked LOS44c647.6$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7356341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked LOS22c628.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.273237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked RED Canids78c625.7$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.281,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed LOS28c574.05$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1514348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed RED Canids66c566.6$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7163540.2%255 W · 380 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a9…5225backed RED Canids59c561.72$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.38739.1%34 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed LOS43c557.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5342847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed LOS27c540.91$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.011,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb05…ed70backed LOS22c514.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.428458.3%49 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked LOS24c505$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2758420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed LOS41c501.12$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4639755.4%220 W · 177 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed RED Canids59c495.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3579151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5309…6cdebacked LOS13c482.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.486246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOS21c456.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.583,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed LOS9c451.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.591,06028.5%302 W · 758 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOS39c438.27$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.528042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed RED Canids68c421.91$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3374250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5db…0716backed LOS23c409.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.410343.7%45 W · 58 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked RED Canids60c407.22$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8399756.6%564 W · 433 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked RED Canids76c389.86$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.571,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOS29c381.31$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.582,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked RED Canids51c379.58$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3186649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LOS19c379.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.771,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c18…9b0ebacked RED Canids59c373.69$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.217145.1%32 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc762…0276backed LOS33c348.66$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.184540%18 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed RED Canids59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.561,22358.1%710 W · 513 L+43.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed LOS17c321.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6133737.7%127 W · 210 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed LOS50c308.9$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5723149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed LOS30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9094237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed LOS41c297.68$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.051,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e4…c4b2backed RED Canids77c287.1$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3826861.6%165 W · 103 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed LOS34c286.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0135633.7%120 W · 236 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4771…8055backed LOS21c285.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.012979.3%23 W · 6 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+43%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x39d1…ae10backed LOS21c285.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.013941%16 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked RED Canids70c265.86$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8215364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3976…d68ebacked LOS24c261.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1811630.2%35 W · 81 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed RED Canids59c248.97$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0846641.4%193 W · 273 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed LOS36c248.38$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4237641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOS35c247.64$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.031,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed LOS41c244$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0457754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed LOS23c241$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4399338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed LOS40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.41,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed LOS22c239.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.661,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed LOS46c217.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1664451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked LOS41c210$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.11,21954.5%664 W · 555 L+52.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed LOS41c203.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3918952.9%100 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LOS41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed RED Canids60c190$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7677545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed RED Canids53c182.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.591,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked RED Canids79c175.12$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.931,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked LOS30c174.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.721,18948.1%572 W · 617 L-2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked RED Canids60c166.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6746258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked LOS32c163.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61,01247%476 W · 536 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae6…7acabacked LOS30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.92839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked LOS24c143.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3682044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LOS22c137.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.972,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x384e…f3b6backed LOS22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed LOS42c131.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1396254.3%522 W · 440 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed LOS23c124.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6149253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dae…0336backed LOS14c122.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1314149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed RED Canids66c121.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.451,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3032…2c71backed LOS32c121.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3610150.5%51 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed LOS24c118.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.221,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LOS15c105.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.572,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90a7…6929backed LOS27c104.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.77945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed LOS15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517543.4%76 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked LOS15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517739.5%70 W · 107 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked LOS15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525340.7%103 W · 150 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.