TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GamerLegionof Astralis, GamerLegion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis36c11,250$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.1176058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Astralis37c10,725$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,020.327658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked GamerLegion62c7,739$4,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.4416245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked GamerLegion60c6,862$4,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.383,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Astralis40c6,666$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.391741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed GamerLegion63c6,125$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.2267041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed GamerLegion63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked GamerLegion60c3,668$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.129855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed GamerLegion63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Astralis37c2,800$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03618254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Astralis40c2,707$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.9735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00061338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Astralis38c2,676$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01716248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed GamerLegion63c2,250$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.58752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed GamerLegion64c1,579$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.4660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Astralis37c1,200$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.523851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed GamerLegion63c1,150$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.526743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dce…c58ebacked GamerLegion63c1,141$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Astralis37c1,020$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.442845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked GamerLegion61c1,007$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3184454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…dc15backed Astralis38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked GamerLegion61c999.96$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.981,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed GamerLegion64c938$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.6818752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked GamerLegion62c851.28$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Astralis43c816.58$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34827552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Astralis39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31238954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion59c799.6$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.382,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked GamerLegion61c666.98$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1212950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Astralis38c609.78$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9116235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Astralis40c544.18$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.198953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Astralis37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked GamerLegion62c539.67$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0747147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Astralis39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Astralis37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis37c499.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Astralis37c458.66$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.711148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Astralis40c435$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17439157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6396…3e5cbacked Astralis39c394.87$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed GamerLegion63c352.98$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.62,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…9213backed Astralis40c325$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked GamerLegion64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.516344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed GamerLegion61c306.62$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0238848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Astralis37c270.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.213058.5%76 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Astralis38c261.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Astralis39c259$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.014136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed Astralis38c250.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.038740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed GamerLegion63c234.21$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2121263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed GamerLegion60c231.28$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.221741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed GamerLegion69c223$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.681,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Astralis45c217.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5915349.7%76 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Astralis37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed Astralis37c202.72$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0116856%94 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Astralis32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6430031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Astralis37c170$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.981246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed Astralis37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.55860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed GamerLegion64c140$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.420055%110 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Astralis40c137.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed GamerLegion62c136.18$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.751,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Astralis37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Astralis37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Astralis39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.760838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd030…bcf3backed Astralis31c127.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Astralis38c118.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.921346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed GamerLegion64c112$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3227554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x760e…db1abacked GamerLegion63c111.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.98268.3%56 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Astralis37c110.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.444951%25 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Astralis37c107.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6210935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed GamerLegion62c101$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.383745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed Astralis37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3713040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed GamerLegion64c98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2814055%77 W · 63 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Astralis37c90$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed GamerLegion63c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.318352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Astralis37c87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.195850%29 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Astralis37c79.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.554634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50f2…a5b1backed GamerLegion64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…0c34backed Astralis39c77.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed GamerLegion61c75.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.721,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2260…ed12backed Astralis38c73.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.87748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked GamerLegion70c70.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.882437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked GamerLegion63c69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.539863.3%62 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Astralis37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Astralis40c66.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4471…3f7bbacked Astralis38c65.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+63.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked GamerLegion53c65.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.581533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b1b…3d70backed GamerLegion62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.522850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baa…96f4backed GamerLegion64c58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.884953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked Astralis46c55.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3648052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Astralis37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011341.6%47 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Astralis37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bed…fd9cbacked Astralis37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020656.8%117 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Astralis37c53.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810856.5%61 W · 47 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Astralis39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Astralis39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Astralis49c51.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254736.2%17 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x846d…67b3backed Astralis39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8924842.7%106 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Astralis40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023354.5%127 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Astralis37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Astralis38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1925143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed GamerLegion62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Astralis40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.