CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4b88d456c52aec523da775aeb07ad00695ec0fd1bbbf0b3de530d4f8571bb7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 49c | 2,317$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.54 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Over | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Under | 51c | 1,858$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.29 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 44c | 1,057$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.13 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 53c | 839.69$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.51 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 823.15$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.97 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 53c | 566.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 52c | 471.77$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Over | 46c | 441.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 53c | 299.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 47c | 219.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…ef58backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…bf3bbacked Under | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 55c | 74.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 49c | 73.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 32c | 69.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Under | 25c | 59.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 50c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 74c | 41.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…f81cbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 56c | 25.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 44c | 25.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.