Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5606bc3959894e14540f9726ebc0557c74398e89c38c179f511b1fc78db4c93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof BetBoom Team, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb53a…e694backed BetBoom Team | 33c | 4,539$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.29 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Liquid | 67c | 2,545$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Liquid | 68c | 967.18$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked BetBoom Team | 32c | 896.22$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.79 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 891.48$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.19 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 768.19$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…f3c6backed Team Liquid | 67c | 496.77$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 464.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 71c | 311.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed BetBoom Team | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 212.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed BetBoom Team | 32c | 99.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BetBoom Team | 15c | 91.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Team Liquid | 69c | 79.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…0c34backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 59.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…a73ebacked Team Liquid | 68c | 57.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BetBoom Team | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked BetBoom Team | 34c | 53.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Team Liquid | 71c | 41.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Team Liquid | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Team Liquid | 71c | 30.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…3cf4backed Team Liquid | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 28.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team Liquid | 71c | 23.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Team Liquid | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.