TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof KT Rolster, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$540,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$546,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX37c106,345$39,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,570.9555955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0f3…883cbacked KT Rolster0c101,154$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015046%23 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed KT Rolster62c48,261$30,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,089.241,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed KT Rolster0c30,928$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.097869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed KT Rolster63c23,651$14,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,900.12740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked KT Rolster1c23,400$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed KT Rolster64c16,800$10,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,715.8115153.6%81 W · 70 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed KT Rolster60c14,703$8,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,821.851146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e93…be55backed KT Rolster0c14,580$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed BNK FEARX35c13,845$4,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.2614247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed KT Rolster65c13,096$8,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,468.1138235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed KT Rolster65c11,111$7,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,222.1553750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb1…204dbacked KT Rolster0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed BNK FEARX39c8,888$3,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,381.8651044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997d…decfbacked KT Rolster4c7,455$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked BNK FEARX35c7,058$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.061,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked KT Rolster61c7,010$4,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,276.167250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed KT Rolster59c7,003$4,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,121.573,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed BNK FEARX42c6,428$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,757.4264155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed KT Rolster49c6,351$3,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.821,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed BNK FEARX35c6,300$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,09559450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BNK FEARX47c5,700$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,023.972,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed KT Rolster31c5,672$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.961,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked KT Rolster49c5,644$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.5357246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed KT Rolster52c5,474$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.6631036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked BNK FEARX46c4,760$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.7267760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BNK FEARX47c4,335$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.491854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked KT Rolster5c4,148$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22064556.6%365 W · 280 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed KT Rolster66c4,019$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,652.271,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked BNK FEARX37c4,000$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.371,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed KT Rolster64c3,850$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.9996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked KT Rolster3c3,399$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.966297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed BNK FEARX36c3,200$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04853047.5%252 W · 278 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked KT Rolster65c2,636$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.470162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed KT Rolster9c2,413$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7797427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed BNK FEARX35c2,256$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.712,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed BNK FEARX36c2,207$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.4240232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked KT Rolster64c2,141$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.2151160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed KT Rolster62c2,126$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.9935448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed KT Rolster60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed BNK FEARX39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.9932440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed KT Rolster59c1,864$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.931,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked KT Rolster60c1,786$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.7287844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed BNK FEARX36c1,669$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.311249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe724…2072backed KT Rolster61c1,600$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9765747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4384…175fbacked KT Rolster1c1,543$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71527.7%4 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed BNK FEARX50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75084050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked KT Rolster64c1,436$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91959248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BNK FEARX38c1,336$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.271,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed KT Rolster63c1,305$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.311,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed KT Rolster1c1,257$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.218142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed KT Rolster2c1,242$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9815334.6%53 W · 100 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed KT Rolster60c1,150$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.991,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked BNK FEARX50c1,143$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.6998956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked BNK FEARX36c1,134$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.6195951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked BNK FEARX50c1,104$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.011,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked KT Rolster1c1,100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22261.8%4 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX50c1,094$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.811,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed KT Rolster65c1,077$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70086144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed BNK FEARX40c1,002$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.0771249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked KT Rolster61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed KT Rolster50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked KT Rolster2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6503,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed BNK FEARX35c999.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.991,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked BNK FEARX35c999.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.998652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed KT Rolster54c983.07$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.942,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed KT Rolster8c975$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7864247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked KT Rolster10c913.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.131,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed BNK FEARX46c902.55$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.3852848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed BNK FEARX50c892.91$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.0932954.4%179 W · 150 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked KT Rolster55c858$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.1260347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6a…1a8fbacked BNK FEARX73c827.1$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.12157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed BNK FEARX51c821.83$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.0450749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed BNK FEARX38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49654246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0752…afadbacked KT Rolster64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed KT Rolster5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edb…7e13backed BNK FEARX35c799.97$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed KT Rolster63c794.21$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked BNK FEARX36c787$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.682955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed KT Rolster65c784.62$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51060855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed KT Rolster65c781.25$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8149847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed KT Rolster60c771.65$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.9932941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked KT Rolster65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed KT Rolster65c747.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.139851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked KT Rolster63c731.91$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9142941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked BNK FEARX40c721$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.7736040.6%146 W · 214 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed KT Rolster5c700$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.982953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed KT Rolster65c698.97$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3314930.9%46 W · 103 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed KT Rolster54c685.68$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.271,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked KT Rolster15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9169…97d1backed KT Rolster54c662.23$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.023438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed BNK FEARX36c656.84$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.3218656.5%105 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked BNK FEARX46c652.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9343453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb845…ca23backed KT Rolster19c644.02$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217628.9%22 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed KT Rolster2c614.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2821249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked KT Rolster63c600$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37512462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed KT Rolster63c588.61$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36926062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BNK FEARX42c575.19$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.131,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed BNK FEARX40c551.98$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.1925236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.