TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof KT Rolster, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe72b…b0a0backed KT Rolster42c50,974$21,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,552.664037.5%15 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed BNK FEARX58c34,800$20,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,61659450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX56c34,187$19,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,082.5655955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed KT Rolster44c22,727$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00011753%62 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.971,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed KT Rolster43c10,906$4,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,689.6227735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked BNK FEARX57c7,018$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.5426155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked BNK FEARX58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9401,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed KT Rolster42c6,712$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.9938235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed KT Rolster43c5,598$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38212236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f7…644fbacked KT Rolster44c5,202$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2891250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked BNK FEARX55c4,559$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.21,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BNK FEARX57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked KT Rolster43c3,375$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.4311655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed KT Rolster43c3,350$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.5413846.4%64 W · 74 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed KT Rolster47c3,262$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.9936034.4%124 W · 236 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed KT Rolster43c2,791$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20053753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cba…5b14backed KT Rolster43c2,188$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed KT Rolster43c1,900$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.1985836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed KT Rolster44c1,705$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked BNK FEARX58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.9932145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked KT Rolster41c1,058$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.461,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed KT Rolster41c1,017$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.9651146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked KT Rolster44c924.09$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.62437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked KT Rolster46c888$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.481,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed BNK FEARX57c853.15$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8514247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea4d…c654backed KT Rolster43c852.25$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.423154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed KT Rolster44c707$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.087626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed BNK FEARX59c660.73$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.92,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ef…b4f0backed KT Rolster46c639.74$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.281942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed KT Rolster48c538.44$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4515953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed KT Rolster43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21517633.5%59 W · 117 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed BNK FEARX56c488.88$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1154353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed KT Rolster44c330.75$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5316253.7%87 W · 75 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed KT Rolster43c330$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.985746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked KT Rolster44c329.55$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14511248.2%54 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed BNK FEARX57c310$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.316439%64 W · 100 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked KT Rolster44c305.12$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.251,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked BNK FEARX56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.117241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed KT Rolster42c281.9$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1160849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked KT Rolster43c262.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11337640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed KT Rolster43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed KT Rolster44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013352.6%70 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked KT Rolster44c225.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed KT Rolster48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed BNK FEARX57c205$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1529952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed BNK FEARX57c177.19$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1911942.9%51 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed KT Rolster44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.87452.7%39 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd1…9249backed KT Rolster44c159$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9617744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked BNK FEARX58c155.34$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.716254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed KT Rolster43c153$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.494136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa033…4938backed KT Rolster44c143$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.923732.4%12 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed BNK FEARX53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5118752.4%98 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed KT Rolster50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed BNK FEARX58c125.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.321,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fa…4e74backed BNK FEARX57c124.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed KT Rolster44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.84938.8%19 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed KT Rolster43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked BNK FEARX57c111$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.732751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf437…c0e9backed KT Rolster44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.322035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed KT Rolster43c104.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.072934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed KT Rolster44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456521.5%14 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked BNK FEARX57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4342751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed BNK FEARX58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8336047.5%171 W · 189 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked BNK FEARX57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.732650.3%164 W · 162 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32b…2522backed BNK FEARX57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.728856.8%50 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BNK FEARX55c83.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked BNK FEARX60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3392354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed BNK FEARX56c75.79$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.351850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a94…6e31backed BNK FEARX53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.476747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f63…89f3backed BNK FEARX57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.253946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked KT Rolster44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.864146.5%298 W · 343 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed BNK FEARX57c69.19$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.751384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+56%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed KT Rolster44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3057655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5b…4ef4backed KT Rolster44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.45648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed KT Rolster43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BNK FEARX57c57.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7149847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked KT Rolster44c54.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked KT Rolster41c52.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3967552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88bf…591abacked BNK FEARX58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.7wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+62.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked KT Rolster43c50.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8712147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked BNK FEARX57c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.549756.3%280 W · 217 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed KT Rolster43c48.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125154.2%136 W · 115 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a41…c739backed KT Rolster43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6994…eed0backed KT Rolster43c45.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked BNK FEARX58c42.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6928655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed KT Rolster42c41.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.521,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7004…b7c4backed BNK FEARX70c37.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118160.5%49 W · 32 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc683…7483backed BNK FEARX58c36.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.341172.7%8 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.38per pick34cpaid+145.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed BNK FEARX57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0920748.3%100 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89af…4757backed KT Rolster44c34.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed KT Rolster44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531352.4%164 W · 149 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8898…e3b8backed KT Rolster48c33.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610356.3%58 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…49e8backed BNK FEARX60c32.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.175937.3%22 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed KT Rolster43c32.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.129857.1%56 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a07…5883backed KT Rolster44c32.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-52.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed BNK FEARX53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+56.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked BNK FEARX60c24.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.813568.6%24 W · 11 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+67.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.