CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef843ee37ed0885859830de13d33bd238ee77ca3790a0d107f3ca7ac13c51815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Spirit, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,017 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 54c | 23,940$12,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,808.22 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spirit | 50c | 18,071$9,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,041.68 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Astralis | 50c | 17,214$8,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,664.97 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Spirit | 51c | 16,906$8,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,585.54 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Astralis | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 47c | 10,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.98 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Astralis | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.99 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Astralis | 46c | 6,666$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.62 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…14f8backed Spirit | 50c | 6,029$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit | 54c | 4,726$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Astralis | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Spirit | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.84 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Astralis | 46c | 4,021$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.3 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Astralis | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis | 46c | 3,112$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.79 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…1897backed Spirit | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis | 46c | 2,426$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.86 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Astralis | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…6947backed Spirit | 50c | 2,019$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Astralis | 47c | 1,900$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit | 53c | 1,900$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.96 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 8c | 1,826$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Spirit | 50c | 1,631$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Astralis | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.2 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Spirit | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Astralis | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Astralis | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Astralis | 47c | 1,470$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.67 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Astralis | 50c | 1,401$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.76 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…eda4backed Spirit | 54c | 1,162$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.54 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Spirit | 52c | 1,143$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.36 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Astralis | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Astralis | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Spirit | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Spirit | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Astralis | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Spirit | 54c | 926.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.36 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Spirit | 54c | 845$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.3 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 51c | 696.75$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.61 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Spirit | 54c | 611.08$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Astralis | 51c | 607.02$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.6 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Astralis | 52c | 578.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…a779backed Spirit | 50c | 489.08$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.54 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Astralis | 52c | 477.77$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.33 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Astralis | 47c | 421.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 48c | 404.1$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.99 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Astralis | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed Spirit | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Astralis | 75c | 334.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Astralis | 51c | 307.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Spirit | 33c | 304.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Spirit | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Astralis | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Spirit | 53c | 283.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…71e6backed Spirit | 51c | 267.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Spirit | 54c | 251.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Astralis | 51c | 241.66$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Spirit | 54c | 234.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Astralis | 48c | 222$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit | 50c | 209.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Astralis | 46c | 202.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…8404backed Spirit | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit | 50c | 186.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit | 41c | 185.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…db7dbacked Spirit | 54c | 185.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…f6c9backed Spirit | 50c | 185.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Spirit | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Astralis | 51c | 162.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…f429backed Astralis | 52c | 156$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Spirit | 51c | 152.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Spirit | 50c | 152.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked Spirit | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…c177backed Spirit | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed Spirit | 54c | 105.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 47c | 103.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Spirit | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…5010backed Astralis | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Astralis | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Astralis | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Spirit | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Astralis | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Spirit | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Astralis | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 461 | 42.7%197 W · 264 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Astralis | 46c | 95.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked Spirit | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Spirit | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…3676backed Astralis | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +56%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…07f5backed Spirit | 50c | 93.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Spirit | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Astralis | 51c | 90.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Astralis | 51c | 78.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Spirit | 53c | 75.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Spirit | 50c | 74.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Spirit | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Spirit | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Spirit | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.