CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x162f535928ee2db9adbfc8d788796ee872e96f29cfdd260ed689b1bd099d0e58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,765 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Astralis | 28c | 25,050$7,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,047.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 64c | 14,845$9,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,285.28 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 69c | 13,078$8,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.47 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Spirit | 78c | 12,573$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Astralis | 68c | 9,666$6,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.7 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 40c | 9,495$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720.43 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 72c | 8,239$5,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.36 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit | 36c | 7,782$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.64 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit | 53c | 7,501$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Spirit | 18c | 7,297$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.32 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 30c | 6,949$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.52 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Spirit | 25c | 5,778$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.94 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Astralis | 26c | 5,651$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.3 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Spirit | 75c | 5,191$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.8 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Spirit | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Astralis | 26c | 4,910$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.83 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Spirit | 71c | 4,796$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.5 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Astralis | 22c | 4,582$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.82 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 65c | 4,428$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.43 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 12c | 4,276$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.94 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis | 28c | 4,217$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.34 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Spirit | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.24 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis | 65c | 3,932$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.93 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Spirit | 73c | 3,901$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.53 | 230 | 43.9%101 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Astralis | 42c | 3,743$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.47 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Spirit | 75c | 3,500$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 63c | 3,176$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 66c | 3,162$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.1 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Astralis | 28c | 3,100$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 25c | 3,028$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.72 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Astralis | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…60f6backed Spirit | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 27c | 2,937$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.15 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Spirit | 45c | 2,841$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.18 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Astralis | 77c | 2,743$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.09 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit | 32c | 2,707$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.24 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Spirit | 19c | 2,579$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Spirit | 72c | 2,527$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.09 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 63c | 2,440$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.29 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spirit | 72c | 2,304$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.08 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis | 68c | 2,285$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.36 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 4c | 2,173$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Astralis | 52c | 2,054$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.95 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 20c | 2,022$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.87 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Astralis | 29c | 1,969$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.01 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 39c | 1,959$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.06 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Spirit | 53c | 1,804$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.7 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked Astralis | 50c | 1,742$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.18 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Spirit | 73c | 1,710$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Spirit | 15c | 1,625$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Spirit | 38c | 1,579$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.16 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Astralis | 26c | 1,529$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.43 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Spirit | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Spirit | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Spirit | 38c | 1,408$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.23 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Spirit | 61c | 1,299$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 50c | 1,249$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.85 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit | 29c | 1,200$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.22 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Spirit | 15c | 1,168$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Astralis | 27c | 1,161$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.14 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Spirit | 50c | 1,041$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.95 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Spirit | 52c | 1,039$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.1 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Spirit | 18c | 1,028$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 477 | 41.7%199 W · 278 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Spirit | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Spirit | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Spirit | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Astralis | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Spirit | 56c | 886$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.48 | 167 | 42.5%71 W · 96 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit | 76c | 858.42$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.16 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Spirit | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Astralis | 60c | 821.52$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Spirit | 67c | 803.53$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.37 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Spirit | 29c | 800$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Spirit | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Spirit | 76c | 788.86$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 5c | 740.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…9408backed Astralis | 26c | 738.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Spirit | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Spirit | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…76eabacked Spirit | 34c | 702.13$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Spirit | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Astralis | 33c | 696.67$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.3 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Astralis | 65c | 641.31$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.26 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Spirit | 40c | 639.22$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Astralis | 31c | 626$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.94 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Astralis | 25c | 610$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Astralis | 31c | 608$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.52 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 65c | 594.37$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Astralis | 71c | 563.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.87 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked Astralis | 31c | 562.1$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.85 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Astralis | 21c | 502.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.11 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Astralis | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked Spirit | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Spirit | 50c | 490$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Spirit | 73c | 490$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Spirit | 66c | 490$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spirit | 6c | 483.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Spirit | 54c | 465.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.