Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Fiona Ferro vs Lucrezia Stefanini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee32c247a8bb909a04892ce434045d81fcf9b1c4867aab1473b72f90f62fe35f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferroof Ferro, Stefanini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stefanini | 7c | 5,999$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.89 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Ferro | 61c | 1,910$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.9 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stefanini | 15c | 1,825$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.78 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Ferro | 60c | 1,776$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.64 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Ferro | 55c | 1,431$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.98 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Stefanini | 47c | 1,410$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.69 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Stefanini | 39c | 1,276$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Stefanini | 28c | 1,094$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Stefanini | 47c | 1,060$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Ferro | 76c | 899.98$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ferro | 69c | 805.74$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.79 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4785…921ebacked Stefanini | 40c | 588.8$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Stefanini | 37c | 588.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.98 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Ferro | 57c | 529.84$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Stefanini | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Ferro | 57c | 487.6$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Stefanini | 38c | 263.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Stefanini | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Stefanini | 30c | 234.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Ferro | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Stefanini | 43c | 204$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Stefanini | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Stefanini | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Ferro | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Stefanini | 45c | 175.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Ferro | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stefanini | 39c | 153.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Ferro | 75c | 148$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Ferro | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Stefanini | 33c | 107.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Stefanini | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Ferro | 60c | 97.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Ferro | 61c | 92.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Stefanini | 50c | 92.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Stefanini | 38c | 85.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Stefanini | 43c | 83.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ferro | 60c | 83.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Stefanini | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Stefanini | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Ferro | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Stefanini | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Ferro | 62c | 71.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Stefanini | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stefanini | 44c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Ferro | 61c | 57.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Ferro | 61c | 57.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stefanini | 41c | 55.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Stefanini | 39c | 54.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Ferro | 51c | 53.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Ferro | 61c | 51.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Stefanini | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Stefanini | 25c | 47.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Stefanini | 45c | 44.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Stefanini | 29c | 41.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…9129backed Stefanini | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stefanini | 38c | 32.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Stefanini | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Stefanini | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Ferro | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Ferro | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Stefanini | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…7e8abacked Ferro | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Stefanini | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ferro | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.