Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Clement Chidekh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x001c03a8dabc4f0289f9fe013b4c84fe235e491f32c18d3e6587b3efd993e8e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chidekhof Gueymard-Wayenburg, Chidekh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chidekh | 68c | 10,345$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.24 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 42c | 4,452$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 31c | 3,287$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 23c | 2,098$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 38c | 1,255$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.58 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 35c | 1,069$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.72 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 30c | 955.34$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 27c | 468.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 26c | 389.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chidekh | 54c | 329.14$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Chidekh | 48c | 291.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Chidekh | 52c | 202.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Chidekh | 47c | 192.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed Chidekh | 73c | 181.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Chidekh | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Chidekh | 53c | 141.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 47c | 129.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chidekh | 63c | 129.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 30c | 114.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Chidekh | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Chidekh | 55c | 91.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Chidekh | 68c | 88.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 48c | 59.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Chidekh | 77c | 48.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 31c | 47.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…dca9backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 55c | 46.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Chidekh | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chidekh | 76c | 43.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 36c | 42.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Chidekh | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Chidekh | 42c | 28.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Chidekh | 50c | 23.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…9129backed Chidekh | 73c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 53c | 19.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.