NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5128b7638bff05c2481eac78ab714fc44089df0546adcefcfde0ba85560fce11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Oilers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 42c | 90,628$38,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,614.94 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Lightning | 60c | 50,249$29,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,318.76 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Oilers | 63c | 46,589$29,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,401.54 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Oilers | 41c | 24,593$10,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,083.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 66c | 20,156$13,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,346.94 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Oilers | 40c | 11,127$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.8 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Oilers | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 39c | 8,995$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.05 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Oilers | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.95 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Lightning | 61c | 6,306$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.42 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Oilers | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Lightning | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Oilers | 40c | 5,950$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.96 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…253bbacked Oilers | 41c | 5,790$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Oilers | 40c | 5,786$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.26 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…2dcdbacked Lightning | 59c | 5,784$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Lightning | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Oilers | 39c | 4,772$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.29 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Oilers | 39c | 4,486$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.54 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Lightning | 39c | 4,021$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.77 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Oilers | 55c | 3,936$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.08 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…126ebacked Oilers | 10c | 3,890$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Oilers | 39c | 3,808$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.12 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 41c | 3,587$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.45 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Lightning | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Oilers | 2c | 3,146$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 39c | 3,140$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.59 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Lightning | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 38c | 2,769$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.3 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 39c | 2,629$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.14 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 63c | 2,613$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Oilers | 51c | 2,495$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.9 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Oilers | 39c | 2,450$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Oilers | 40c | 2,300$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Lightning | 61c | 2,100$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.99 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Lightning | 51c | 2,098$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.46 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 39c | 2,067$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 16c | 2,015$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.39 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Oilers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Oilers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Oilers | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Oilers | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Oilers | 59c | 1,933$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.64 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,825$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 58c | 1,814$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.98 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Oilers | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Oilers | 39c | 1,729$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.34 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oilers | 77c | 1,698$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.03 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Oilers | 43c | 1,697$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.71 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,600$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Lightning | 60c | 1,545$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.16 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ea…524dbacked Lightning | 60c | 1,533$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bb…42edbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,513$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Oilers | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Oilers | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.85 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 43c | 1,464$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.84 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…8accbacked Oilers | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 61c | 1,319$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.81 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oilers | 40c | 1,259$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.68 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Oilers | 41c | 1,255$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.61 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Oilers | 39c | 1,210$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.09 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…8a03backed Lightning | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 35c | 1,072$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.93 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lightning | 42c | 1,062$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.4 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Lightning | 58c | 1,010$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.1 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…1371backed Lightning | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…ad03backed Oilers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Oilers | 39c | 999.97$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 48c | 998.33$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.13 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Oilers | 61c | 948.04$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.07 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 60c | 903.79$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.14 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Lightning | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b7…bafdbacked Oilers | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Oilers | 39c | 763.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Oilers | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Oilers | 39c | 750$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b87…d735backed Oilers | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…2834backed Lightning | 59c | 714$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Oilers | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed Oilers | 64c | 679.79$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4055…8e4bbacked Lightning | 44c | 677.17$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lightning | 42c | 656.16$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.26 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Lightning | 48c | 630.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.25 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lightning | 47c | 630$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.72 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Oilers | 41c | 614.93$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.12 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Oilers | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Lightning | 60c | 593.67$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 42c | 588.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oilers | 39c | 581$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…5c30backed Oilers | 41c | 572.83$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.86 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Oilers | 42c | 565.57$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ff…f560backed Oilers | 55c | 561.36$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Lightning | 24c | 531.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.8 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d4…780fbacked Oilers | 55c | 525.02$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Oilers | 72c | 520$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Oilers | 39c | 500.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.52 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Lightningthis page
- Oilers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.