NHL · resolved market
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8e6f53d8a2ed48a571a6a055e52fd8ae414d54b20c62726784964a485196cbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Admiral Vladivostok, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Admiral Vladivostok | 21c | 261.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…1c03backed Admiral Vladivostok | 23c | 119.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Avangard Omsk | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avangard Omsk | 79c | 82.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd047…f8bebacked Avangard Omsk | 79c | 81.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9c72backed Admiral Vladivostok | 37c | 80.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Admiral Vladivostok | 37c | 56.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Avangard Omsk | 60c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d06…5dddbacked Avangard Omsk | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Avangard Omsk | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…3b29backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 20.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…c741backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.