CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Journey Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a8fdf82bad07d8c5d9527e131fcb4ee29c34269488487be2023e220dad77448
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof FC Famalicão Esports, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,241 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 4,071$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.19 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 2,911$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.99 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 72c | 2,225$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 26c | 1,804$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.29 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Johnny Speeds | 55c | 1,683$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.48 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FC Famalicão Esports | 43c | 1,423$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.54 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.99 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FC Famalicão Esports | 25c | 980.62$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.66 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 72c | 954.47$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.22 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 34c | 947.69$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.52 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 846.13$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed FC Famalicão Esports | 32c | 661.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 636.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 518.2$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 45c | 511.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FC Famalicão Esports | 38c | 400.01$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 333.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…d36fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 23c | 302.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 40c | 301.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Johnny Speeds | 68c | 295.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 28c | 260.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…90b3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed FC Famalicão Esports | 43c | 249.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 230.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…a671backed FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 204.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed FC Famalicão Esports | 45c | 188.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 30c | 169.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 166$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed FC Famalicão Esports | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Johnny Speeds | 68c | 147.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Johnny Speeds | 63c | 145.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 137.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 33c | 134.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Johnny Speeds | 76c | 131.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Johnny Speeds | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed FC Famalicão Esports | 18c | 117.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Johnny Speeds | 68c | 115.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed FC Famalicão Esports | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 108.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed FC Famalicão Esports | 23c | 106$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 27c | 101.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed FC Famalicão Esports | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Johnny Speeds | 71c | 84.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…d073backed FC Famalicão Esports | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…d0eabacked FC Famalicão Esports | 45c | 81.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ba…5618backed FC Famalicão Esports | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…c741backed Johnny Speeds | 72c | 78.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Johnny Speeds | 57c | 54.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…8afebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 47.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Johnny Speeds | 69c | 46.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 45.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Johnny Speeds | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Johnny Speeds | 63c | 44.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed FC Famalicão Esports | 40c | 44.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…cc22backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 33.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c44…97e7backed Johnny Speeds | 77c | 31.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Johnny Speeds | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed FC Famalicão Esports | 38c | 27.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 25.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Johnny Speeds | 68c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Journey Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.