Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisville Cardinals vs. Duke Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31084034029b612638e3fb22b7a601d6ac29a675179c4cc606eba58750454da1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Louisville Cardinals, Duke Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Louisville Cardinals | 23c | 30,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 9,436$7,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.25 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 8,251$6,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.79 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 7,882$6,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.86 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Louisville Cardinals | 26c | 3,190$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.08 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 2,727$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 2,466$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Louisville Cardinals | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisville Cardinals | 18c | 1,952$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 1,842$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.33 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 1,784$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.42 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 1,659$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.46 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Louisville Cardinals | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisville Cardinals | 20c | 1,351$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.71 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…81febacked Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 883.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 875.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisville Cardinals | 15c | 843.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 839.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 804.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Louisville Cardinals | 25c | 804$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 650$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Louisville Cardinals | 16c | 624.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 559.68$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 540.27$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 16c | 537.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 76c | 510$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Louisville Cardinals | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 478$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisville Cardinals | 8c | 465.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Louisville Cardinals | 26c | 384$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisville Cardinals | 14c | 357.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Louisville Cardinals | 17c | 344.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Louisville Cardinals | 18c | 318.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisville Cardinals | 20c | 284.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Louisville Cardinals | 7c | 281.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…fa14backed Louisville Cardinals | 7c | 273.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Louisville Cardinals | 17c | 260$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 243.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Louisville Cardinals | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 230$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 218$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Louisville Cardinals | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 11c | 150.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Louisville Cardinals | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 25c | 147.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisville Cardinals | 15c | 128.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 126.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Louisville Cardinals | 24c | 105.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Louisville Cardinals | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Louisville Cardinals | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Louisville Cardinals | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…4fd2backed Louisville Cardinals | 26c | 92.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…98e2backed Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…8478backed Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…c741backed Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Louisville Cardinals | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 81.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Louisville Cardinals | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 78.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 17c | 74.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…ed8bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisville Cardinals | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 63.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Louisville Cardinals | 20c | 62.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Louisville Cardinals | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 56.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Duke Blue Devils | 70c | 55.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Louisville Cardinals | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…c7c6backed Louisville Cardinals | 26c | 52.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Louisville Cardinals | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…5da1backed Louisville Cardinals | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Louisville Cardinals | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Louisville Cardinals | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 40.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Louisville Cardinals | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…d3cfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 76c | 36.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 34.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…be16backed Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 34.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…643ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…74b8backed Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…cca9backed Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 21.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Duke Blue Devils | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.