TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledo Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kent State Golden Flashesof Kent State Golden Flashes, Toledo Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x00ff…f7adbacked Toledo Rockets49c3,664$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.8711252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes50c2,841$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.726043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Toledo Rockets57c2,621$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.463,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kent State Golden Flashes49c2,499$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.842,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toledo Rockets51c2,200$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1122,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Toledo Rockets65c2,114$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.595,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Kent State Golden Flashes51c1,900$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.1127851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Kent State Golden Flashes50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75012646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Toledo Rockets50c1,364$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.141,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Toledo Rockets49c1,027$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.3912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kent State Golden Flashes51c999$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.5160548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kent State Golden Flashes52c943$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.931,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Kent State Golden Flashes37c806$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.7894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kent State Golden Flashes49c762.77$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.0174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kent State Golden Flashes17c756.81$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.734,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Toledo Rockets54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes49c724.36$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5514151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Toledo Rockets73c657$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.6739742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Toledo Rockets67c606.82$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.563,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Kent State Golden Flashes29c584.72$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.411,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Toledo Rockets40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Toledo Rockets25c451.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7318147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kent State Golden Flashes10c370.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.81,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x273f…56febacked Toledo Rockets14c355.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Kent State Golden Flashes7c347.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.7519237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Kent State Golden Flashes60c330$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13246446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Toledo Rockets49c329.54$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fb…d13abacked Toledo Rockets78c318.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504070%28 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf4…963cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes48c221$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5570…aec6backed Toledo Rockets52c220$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Kent State Golden Flashes12c215.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7153635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8d78backed Toledo Rockets52c215$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fa…ac14backed Kent State Golden Flashes48c214$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Kent State Golden Flashes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3319554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Toledo Rockets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Toledo Rockets72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Kent State Golden Flashes79c190.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.364973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Toledo Rockets51c188.12$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kent State Golden Flashes59c183.89$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.51,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Toledo Rockets78c177.38$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.941,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kent State Golden Flashes41c172.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.665,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes49c171.37$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.437142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kent State Golden Flashes28c167.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.23,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Toledo Rockets42c138.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.761,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Toledo Rockets66c131.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.411,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes27c129.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.291,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Toledo Rockets51c118.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5238345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Toledo Rockets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Toledo Rockets54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5421455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Kent State Golden Flashes41c99.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.889259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61d1…a379backed Toledo Rockets52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b7…b46fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Toledo Rockets42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.82,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Toledo Rockets62c80.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1736942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Toledo Rockets60c75.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes24c66.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.131,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kent State Golden Flashes47c65.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.682,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Kent State Golden Flashes48c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.086753.7%36 W · 31 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Kent State Golden Flashes32c53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Kent State Golden Flashes29c52.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2770349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Kent State Golden Flashes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2519851.5%102 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kent State Golden Flashes45c49.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.492,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Kent State Golden Flashes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.025832.8%19 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x65c1…c741backed Kent State Golden Flashes34c38.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.352378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Toledo Rockets51c38.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked Kent State Golden Flashes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Toledo Rockets51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.368055%44 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes49c35.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9324340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Kent State Golden Flashes72c33.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.532673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Toledo Rockets47c31.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9991848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf78d…ea1dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes44c30.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kent State Golden Flashes48c30.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6637835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Toledo Rockets52c30.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6644549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kent State Golden Flashes77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.842,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Toledo Rockets41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Kent State Golden Flashes53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.152353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes52c29.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.39966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Kent State Golden Flashes51c29.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5344146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Kent State Golden Flashes52c28.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8410043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Kent State Golden Flashes52c28.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7113550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8410…441fbacked Toledo Rockets64c28.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.89580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Toledo Rockets52c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x73fc…c153backed Kent State Golden Flashes52c26.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cae…b135backed Toledo Rockets53c23.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Kent State Golden Flashes51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5315246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda4d…217abacked Toledo Rockets59c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.383560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Toledo Rockets54c19.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.313151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.