AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ef427d3b65855d71b0ad74a7cd6ec354b8fa0dc8e29a02562197459be976e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked No | 13c | 44,885$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.81 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 80c | 14,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 3c | 8,628$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.74 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed No | 0c | 5,871$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed No | 5c | 4,550$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 19c | 4,005$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.25 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb688…75a6backed No | 0c | 3,974$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…f294backed No | 4c | 3,224$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 10c | 3,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 19c | 2,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 2,119$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 8c | 1,897$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…8469backed Yes | 78c | 1,796$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 2c | 1,658$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac3…3189backed No | 2c | 1,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3769…2799backed No | 4c | 1,554$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…9694backed No | 3c | 1,527$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 20c | 1,522$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.81 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed Yes | 70c | 1,424$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 2c | 1,133$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4cf4backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 6c | 909.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 791.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…e606backed Yes | 76c | 593.13$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…fe13backed No | 12c | 588.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…c5ddbacked No | 4c | 550.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed No | 4c | 512.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked No | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…adb2backed No | 24c | 420.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 15c | 393.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked No | 14c | 384.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed Yes | 78c | 367.85$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…6d0dbacked No | 3c | 352.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…153bbacked Yes | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…e27ebacked Yes | 75c | 313.95$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9d…35c4backed No | 6c | 290$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…6789backed Yes | 72c | 278.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad5…780ebacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 17c | 264.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…4f6bbacked No | 5c | 236.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked No | 5c | 200.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…2adabacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 40c | 195$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6a…a012backed Yes | 74c | 191$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked No | 35c | 184.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b96…0213backed Yes | 79c | 176.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 77c | 166.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…8448backed Yes | 61c | 164.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +166.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 32c | 159.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 37c | 154.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 67c | 149.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 26c | 148.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…025ebacked Yes | 61c | 147$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…b7e4backed Yes | 70c | 142.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…e003backed Yes | 77c | 130.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d54abacked Yes | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 17c | 119.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 37c | 102$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…fcb0backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…bfe4backed Yes | 68c | 89.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 83.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…c741backed Yes | 77c | 82.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9613…7528backed Yes | 61c | 82.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…269ebacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…c57fbacked Yes | 63c | 79.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 16c | 77.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Yes | 70c | 76.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…562cbacked Yes | 66c | 69.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…413fbacked Yes | 72c | 69.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199c…4d76backed No | 21c | 56.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…195fbacked Yes | 80c | 53.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…7bb3backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…4a55backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…e142backed Yes | 66c | 41.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…665ebacked Yes | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…3171backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…1deebacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…a1a6backed Yes | 67c | 29.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…2e85backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c174backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…8512backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…e423backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdd…ddfebacked Yes | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9054…1f14backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…8324backed Yes | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…f10fbacked Yes | 79c | 13.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6927…8d9cbacked Yes | 80c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…96dbbacked Yes | 80c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?this page
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No won
- Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No won
- Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on August 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.