TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9625…1dee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$4.01
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.84
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$35.34
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.45
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$14.58
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$24.13
Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$27.3
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$35
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$290
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,097.54
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$84.1
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$280.56
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.15
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$12
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.6
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$32.1
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$24.53
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.6%+$22.96
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.1
OpenAI browser in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+158.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+216.6%+$23.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$37.82
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$10.07
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$13.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.2%+$4.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.