Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232fc88bfc788582aa4aa1b21e5e6f73bef96bb1d6135036c303fc01a47362b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 34c | 5,261$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 41c | 4,694$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.67 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 65c | 2,545$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.94 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 37c | 2,300$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 38c | 2,002$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.62 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 1,956$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.89 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 40c | 1,398$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.96 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 51c | 1,119$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.22 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…bfccbacked Yes | 66c | 875$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 58c | 762.82$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…339fbacked Yes | 39c | 702$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +118%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 38c | 692.91$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.32 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 688$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.82 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 41c | 602.18$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 31c | 600$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…a632backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 51c | 581$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5115…b61dbacked No | 68c | 500$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…4481backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…4f73backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 32c | 475$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb93…77b9backed No | 34c | 470$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…789dbacked No | 34c | 415$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c8…56f5backed No | 34c | 405$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 40c | 355.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…5c6bbacked Yes | 51c | 283.41$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…0dc2backed Yes | 66c | 260$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 39c | 240.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb008…5d6bbacked Yes | 60c | 225.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 34c | 216.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…195dbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…49ffbacked Yes | 66c | 155$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 35c | 147$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…4356backed Yes | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…dc5ebacked Yes | 66c | 125$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…c901backed No | 34c | 115$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…74f9backed Yes | 37c | 109.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 40c | 98.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 92.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 91.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…1deebacked Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…7f81backed Yes | 66c | 85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 42c | 82.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 23c | 80.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…7843backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 61c | 65.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78f…07eebacked Yes | 67c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…b206backed No | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…01e0backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 56c | 43.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…5ecdbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc82…f365backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…8621backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…9eddbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…7a75backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…5423backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…7ce0backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…1ad2backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…763fbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cc…ccd5backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…c7a4backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…fb1bbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 32c | 38.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31f…819bbacked Yes | 54c | 36.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…0c86backed No | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…9447backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…2c7cbacked No | 64c | 28.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 62c | 25.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4802…40b6backed No | 61c | 24.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…f762backed No | 61c | 23.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…ab3bbacked No | 62c | 23.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…3d11backed No | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…f75abacked No | 61c | 22.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…1e06backed No | 61c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…5656backed No | 61c | 20.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abc…4c6dbacked No | 61c | 20.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…44c3backed No | 61c | 19.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…196bbacked No | 62c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…50e3backed No | 62c | 18.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…1e02backed No | 61c | 17.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…7648backed No | 61c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…3104backed No | 61c | 16.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% or less in March?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% or more in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.