NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ebd31e3d57b098c89d656166661f7399a6dde292aefbceb4736e7f7036af85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Wizards, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Wizards | 10c | 18,016$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Wizards | 7c | 14,400$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Wizards | 23c | 14,244$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.76 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 6c | 12,849$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.92 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 7c | 12,100$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 10c | 11,125$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.5 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Wizards | 16c | 10,119$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.14 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 9c | 6,888$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.16 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers | 73c | 6,077$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.81 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers | 79c | 5,964$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.24 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 26c | 5,142$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pacers | 80c | 5,000$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.64 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Wizards | 13c | 4,865$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.34 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…9c65backed Wizards | 11c | 4,561$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wizards | 33c | 4,409$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.54 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Wizards | 57c | 3,841$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.68 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Wizards | 29c | 3,452$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…f9d9backed Wizards | 6c | 3,037$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 6c | 3,005$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Wizards | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…795dbacked Wizards | 6c | 2,664$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers | 73c | 2,335$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.08 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 74c | 2,289$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.87 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Pacers | 49c | 1,801$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.96 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards | 18c | 1,621$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Wizards | 7c | 1,560$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 79c | 1,490$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…1977backed Wizards | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…15cfbacked Wizards | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Wizards | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Wizards | 19c | 1,419$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Wizards | 9c | 1,406$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 6c | 1,379$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…f6d4backed Wizards | 6c | 1,287$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 3c | 1,180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 25c | 1,081$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.57 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…83efbacked Wizards | 18c | 1,076$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Pacers | 54c | 1,068$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.38 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Pacers | 74c | 1,040$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Wizards | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Pacers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 2c | 966.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Pacers | 73c | 861.67$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.7 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Pacers | 74c | 758.13$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Wizards | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Pacers | 65c | 591.43$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wizards | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Wizards | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 7c | 555$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards | 13c | 541.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Pacers | 77c | 522$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 26c | 516.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Wizards | 49c | 514.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Wizards | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Wizards | 6c | 483$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wizards | 8c | 462.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Wizards | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Wizards | 22c | 455.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wizards | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Wizards | 7c | 384.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…6063backed Wizards | 8c | 368$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Wizards | 28c | 344.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Wizards | 26c | 326.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…2000backed Pacers | 74c | 322$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Wizards | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Wizards | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Wizards | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pacers | 70c | 283.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Wizards | 23c | 234.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Wizards | 14c | 221.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec0…f343backed Wizards | 29c | 208.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Wizards | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pacers | 79c | 178.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…74a7backed Wizards | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…3b4dbacked Pacers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Pacers | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Wizards | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Wizards | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Wizards | 11c | 133.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…ffe4backed Wizards | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Wizards | 30c | 104.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…4038backed Pacers | 76c | 102.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Wizards | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…f950backed Wizards | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…1deebacked Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8a…ffdfbacked Wizards | 16c | 92.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Wizards | 23c | 90.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Wizards | 24c | 84.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Wizards | 36c | 77.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…c807backed Wizards | 22c | 74.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Wizards | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…ba87backed Wizards | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.