World Politics · resolved market
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c2827821f8d04a08addced7df2e2b69e21e54cadd83af51c8b9404c572f0a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,721,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,836,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,721,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 9c | 49,696$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc370…98ebbacked No | 19c | 41,680$7,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,869.33 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…6051backed No | 17c | 40,000$6,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,765.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed No | 13c | 35,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 4c | 33,596$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.71 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 23c | 32,237$7,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,406.85 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…e5a1backed No | 7c | 30,890$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +643.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf037…43f7backed No | 20c | 30,205$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 18c | 28,207$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.2 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 8c | 25,180$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 76c | 25,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…8a55backed No | 21c | 23,338$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 12c | 21,598$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.89 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…faa3backed No | 9c | 20,000$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c8acbacked No | 0c | 17,109$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 80c | 15,792$12,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.43 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb592…1cabbacked No | 14c | 15,367$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.71 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9c74backed No | 4c | 13,483$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.07 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 78c | 11,284$8,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.99 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 10,381$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.69 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 12c | 9,140$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.59 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 12c | 8,042$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.49 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 80c | 7,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…b14bbacked No | 9c | 6,800$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +125%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…2459backed No | 19c | 6,631$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…93b0backed No | 20c | 6,051$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…bf9abacked No | 3c | 5,446$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed No | 11c | 5,010$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.9 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +165%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 78c | 4,000$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…155ebacked No | 13c | 3,667$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.89 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf63…5a4cbacked No | 4c | 3,040$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…af39backed Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 9c | 2,766$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…bd9fbacked No | 22c | 2,711$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.35 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a47…bfd6backed No | 4c | 2,672$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 13c | 2,563$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.75 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 3c | 2,333$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…6b06backed No | 8c | 2,219$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417a…9784backed Yes | 78c | 2,200$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 4c | 2,130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb2…16c5backed No | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed No | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked Yes | 79c | 1,917$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed No | 4c | 1,907$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88e0…45efbacked No | 18c | 1,515$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…7dd9backed No | 1c | 1,490$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 9c | 1,383$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…a60abacked Yes | 80c | 1,376$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…3909backed No | 4c | 1,342$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…628abacked Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…65f1backed No | 21c | 1,222$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.05 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…97b0backed No | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 12c | 1,109$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0b…d3d0backed No | 19c | 1,054$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…9f84backed No | 19c | 1,042$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…8ac8backed No | 5c | 1,009$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…df98backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 78c | 928.4$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 4c | 922.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 5c | 865.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…41f0backed No | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…e53cbacked No | 17c | 646.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 644$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 4c | 630.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…909dbacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…a004backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 607.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…9534backed No | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 19c | 594$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 4c | 550.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4e…bd3dbacked No | 10c | 550.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +430.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7d…420fbacked Yes | 77c | 508.29$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…2a2abacked No | 14c | 437.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked No | 21c | 415$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 10c | 391.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…fea5backed No | 4c | 343$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 5c | 342.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 4c | 336.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…653ebacked No | 22c | 320$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…1997backed No | 16c | 316.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…85e9backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed No | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f2…9518backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…d260backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…6cc6backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2585…eb9fbacked Yes | 80c | 277.21$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…0379backed No | 17c | 275.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 6c | 265.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…7ababacked No | 5c | 264$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…d0f3backed No | 18c | 252.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…7dc8backed No | 5c | 234$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…6bdabacked No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?this page
- Will the candidate from the New Future Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo won
- Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo won
- Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?No won
- Will the candidate from the Rebuilding Korea Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.