World Politics · resolved market
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0567bc02ff9c9e48029c8a1dc889d9748d394fc38ab12493046b9831abd349fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $933,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a45…d5f8backed Yes | 12c | 54,720$6,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,533.78 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…0d68backed Yes | 8c | 42,421$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.61 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 5c | 40,681$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 4c | 26,552$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.55 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Yes | 5c | 25,375$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.1 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…286bbacked Yes | 4c | 23,745$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 8c | 23,332$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…d0f3backed Yes | 4c | 22,701$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.76 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…e7eebacked Yes | 4c | 22,643$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b7…b260backed Yes | 8c | 21,430$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +285%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0137…be7fbacked Yes | 13c | 21,325$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 6c | 17,370$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.02 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9c74backed Yes | 1c | 14,126$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf63…5a4cbacked Yes | 1c | 11,700$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 12c | 11,496$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.03 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 8c | 11,368$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.8 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 10,070$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.72 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…14eabacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 4c | 9,150$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.56 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…f4f1backed Yes | 14c | 8,620$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…6b06backed Yes | 7c | 8,518$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.94 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 7c | 8,213$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.39 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc370…98ebbacked Yes | 19c | 8,004$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.93 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4389…e8a7backed Yes | 8c | 7,910$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 17c | 7,158$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f7…0069backed Yes | 11c | 6,922$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…bb7fbacked Yes | 6c | 6,788$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…bfd0backed Yes | 5c | 6,628$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…ddb2backed Yes | 6c | 6,520$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb592…1cabbacked Yes | 4c | 6,501$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.56 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…bf9abacked Yes | 7c | 6,438$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 8c | 5,924$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…65f1backed Yes | 10c | 5,537$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…df2cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,182$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 15c | 5,022$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.7 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…7a15backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 4c | 4,877$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…a0eebacked Yes | 6c | 4,810$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…9f05backed Yes | 10c | 4,336$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ab…cc82backed Yes | 2c | 4,314$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 7c | 4,147$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f5…3e59backed Yes | 6c | 3,576$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…201bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,484$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 3,334$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…9fc8backed Yes | 5c | 3,284$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…b09dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,966$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a994backed Yes | 5c | 2,833$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…069ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,828$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 14c | 2,774$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 3c | 2,757$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b77…b7fcbacked Yes | 14c | 2,469$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 9c | 2,300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c6e6backed Yes | 5c | 2,290$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2d…8cd1backed Yes | 3c | 2,202$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +201.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 14c | 2,030$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…4d5cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,006$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.18 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…60acbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 4c | 1,992$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 1,970$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…e6d8backed Yes | 5c | 1,633$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…87adbacked Yes | 3c | 1,610$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…7b7dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,559$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…3de9backed Yes | 3c | 1,537$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 17c | 1,444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…3909backed Yes | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 14c | 1,275$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…7dd9backed Yes | 1c | 1,256$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…ac4bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 12c | 1,183$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 1,137$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…81d3backed Yes | 7c | 1,109$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,064$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c8acbacked Yes | 3c | 1,025$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,008$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…aeb7backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb2…16c5backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…4c14backed Yes | 3c | 974.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…16e4backed Yes | 4c | 952.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…fe90backed Yes | 8c | 950$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…7896backed Yes | 4c | 922.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…fb65backed Yes | 4c | 909.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 8c | 894.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e1…9703backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 832.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 77c | 809.97$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 4c | 791.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…8cebbacked Yes | 4c | 738.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87c…eb00backed Yes | 3c | 715.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 6c | 672.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…ff54backed Yes | 4c | 584.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…b62bbacked Yes | 5c | 577.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c3…1efcbacked Yes | 5c | 560.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…c9fdbacked Yes | 4c | 534.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…db02backed Yes | 5c | 518.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 10c | 506.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 4c | 506.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd24…72d0backed Yes | 7c | 505$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?this page
- Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes won
- Will the candidate from the New Future Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo won
- Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo won
- Will the candidate from the Rebuilding Korea Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.