AI · resolved market
OpenAI browser in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82a42c269c36bce2781aa158c228497272d9a0684211ce9ef4457d33a4eb980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 80c | 5,326$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.86 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 6c | 4,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.46 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 13c | 4,426$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 27cpaid | +226%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 17c | 4,291$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.82 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 4,070$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 16c | 2,818$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.57 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…567dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,237$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,237$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.77 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 78c | 2,193$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…df72backed No | 79c | 1,959$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.29 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 20c | 1,868$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…73acbacked Yes | 12c | 1,520$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 1,437$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…0111backed No | 78c | 1,429$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,373$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798b…3f72backed Yes | 19c | 1,366$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 18c | 877.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.29 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 69c | 828.58$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes | 20c | 807.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 712.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed Yes | 2c | 711.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 23c | 685.78$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 6c | 639.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…98a6backed No | 79c | 600.3$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 15c | 592.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 12c | 562.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 77c | 547.69$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c13…559bbacked Yes | 79c | 539.29$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 14c | 531.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 79c | 523$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 23c | 519.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed No | 78c | 499$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…aa22backed No | 78c | 466.15$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…91a0backed Yes | 22c | 455.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes | 2c | 450.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 36c | 447.78$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 441.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed Yes | 5c | 422.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 18c | 422$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 23c | 378.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 24c | 376.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd811…8d43backed Yes | 19c | 372.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 18c | 340$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked No | 67c | 325.24$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 4c | 308.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…554fbacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 28c | 289.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 4c | 288.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 21c | 281.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 34c | 274.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 21c | 260.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe3…ae50backed Yes | 4c | 259.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…6c84backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…b2fabacked No | 68c | 251.44$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 78c | 231.02$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…2690backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…9d6bbacked Yes | 5c | 221.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 75c | 211$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc2…ff8bbacked Yes | 21c | 202.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 70c | 199.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d8…57f0backed No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…37fbbacked Yes | 14c | 180$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…6d4bbacked Yes | 25c | 177.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d27…a77dbacked Yes | 21c | 171.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 32c | 165.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 65c | 154.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed No | 66c | 149.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe28…e921backed Yes | 27c | 149$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…63b2backed No | 71c | 140.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 63c | 135.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…2078backed Yes | 18c | 135$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed No | 75c | 134.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…2ecfbacked No | 79c | 133.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed No | 61c | 121.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 21c | 117.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…0865backed Yes | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 33c | 112.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Yes | 17c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 59c | 108$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ea…cb98backed Yes | 19c | 105.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…438abacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 22c | 101.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…f2cdbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…dc08backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…11b1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ba…408fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…ca6bbacked No | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…84cdbacked Yes | 21c | 91.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked No | 30c | 90.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Yes | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…e3a5backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb6…f162backed No | 77c | 81.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 72c | 80.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.