Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6dab898b0531faf72bf9f09517538249131850cfe48b309f7f91124411c380

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,152,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,600,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,152,025 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No	31c	180,943$55,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,340.61	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d0…de55backed Yes	68c	147,357$99,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,842.25	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9a…1ef4backed No	0c	128,398$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Yes	66c	127,116$83,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,638.61	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…864bbacked Yes	73c	125,909$91,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,054.99	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+2.9wins	+0.24per pick	68cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0df7…d154backed Yes	79c	125,565$98,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,756.6	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	56c	69,905$39,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,511.3	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes	37c	67,903$25,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,753.37	101	22.8%23 W · 78 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes	76c	64,845$48,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,860.22	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0d…9a46backed No	45c	63,611$28,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,370.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c22…e76ebacked Yes	55c	63,611$35,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,370.51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	31c	58,670$17,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,913.12	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed No	19c	49,603$9,649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,649.11	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No	27c	49,348$13,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,569.53	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd3…7b26backed Yes	26c	47,314$12,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,151.33	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.70per pick	30cpaid	+242.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No	26c	46,648$12,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,194.64	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662f…fa84backed No	23c	44,288$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1fc…0ec1backed Yes	74c	43,336$32,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,230.9	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	31c	43,198$13,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,471.29	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes	61c	40,147$24,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,462.38	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes	64c	39,978$25,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,573.75	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes	78c	37,677$29,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,360.45	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes	72c	35,484$25,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,048.78	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+10.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No	28c	34,161$9,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,556.89	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes	63c	33,096$20,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,348.83	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf77…3ea1backed No	20c	32,966$6,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,481.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a86…b39ebacked No	21c	30,868$6,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,561.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ef…44cfbacked No	17c	30,004$5,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,010	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Yes	77c	30,000$22,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,040	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No	11c	29,977$3,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,390.26	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes	79c	29,157$23,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,155.89	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes	66c	28,878$18,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,940.25	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes	70c	27,856$19,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,377.25	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	75c	26,096$19,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,582.79	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No	22c	24,542$5,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,349.29	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes	75c	24,434$18,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,228.56	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes	46c	24,099$10,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,110.12	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked No	57c	23,909$13,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,714.73	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes	79c	23,453$18,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,842.64	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes	78c	23,255$18,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,163.08	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes	63c	23,184$14,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,684.25	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x429a…9ce3backed No	15c	20,773$3,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,094	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes	72c	20,713$14,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,889.78	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…1d0abacked No	54c	20,000$10,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,880	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-6.1wins	-0.47per pick	54cpaid	-89.9%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed No	0c	20,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	20c	19,890$4,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,015.01	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaec7…f646backed No	45c	19,789$8,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,925.79	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes	33c	19,636$6,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,243.63	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked No	18c	19,507$3,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,571.04	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	-20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed Yes	29c	18,965$5,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,425.54	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0549…5c0cbacked Yes	11c	18,413$2,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,346.46	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.39per pick	11cpaid	+182%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed No	28c	17,742$5,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,049.41	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d65…16d4backed Yes	69c	17,654$12,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,435.96	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No	23c	17,576$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	+29.2wins	+0.25per pick	26cpaid	+132.4%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked No	22c	17,499$3,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,777.01	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7784…5b6dbacked No	62c	17,478$10,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,799.42	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No	28c	16,538$4,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,706.56	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bed…f347backed Yes	74c	16,393$12,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,269.81	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes	53c	15,818$8,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,393.29	102	33.3%34 W · 68 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes	58c	15,777$9,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,624.25	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…79eabacked No	22c	14,457$3,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,122.45	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	63c	14,329$9,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,240.35	170	37.6%64 W · 106 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	71c	14,011$9,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,027.05	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	64c	13,680$8,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,966.34	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked No	38c	12,833$4,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,915.12	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes	57c	12,747$7,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,529.8	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce82…b52ebacked Yes	79c	12,648$9,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,654.26	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes	74c	12,314$9,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,178.15	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No	35c	11,687$4,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,113.94	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.27per pick	28cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5587…5200backed Yes	73c	11,467$8,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,064.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84dd…8701backed Yes	76c	11,183$8,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,657.1	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes	79c	11,000$8,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,311.37	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes	56c	10,885$6,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,781.45	109	28.4%31 W · 78 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No	30c	10,849$3,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,251.49	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed No	20c	10,665$2,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,174.72	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+24%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	35c	10,499$3,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,682.49	576	36.3%209 W · 367 L	-27.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59a5…afc8backed Yes	72c	10,412$7,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,898.82	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6091…972bbacked Yes	79c	10,255$8,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,140.56	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe99f…3977backed Yes	48c	10,127$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,226.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7a…201abacked Yes	80c	10,032$8,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,006.33	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No	23c	9,960$2,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310.9	361	4.4%16 W · 345 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked No	0c	9,585$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.46	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba01…1ebabacked No	62c	9,488$5,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,925.02	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No	32c	9,410$3,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,048.07	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	27c	9,000$2,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,425.88	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-71%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Yes	68c	8,902$6,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,852.32	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fd…c89fbacked Yes	78c	8,754$6,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,927.78	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No	15c	8,745$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,333.69	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8890…79bdbacked Yes	53c	8,604$4,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,001.85	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-38%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Yes	74c	8,000$5,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,087	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	72cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b5…205cbacked Yes	75c	8,000$5,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,018	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71ed…d9ebbacked No	22c	7,864$1,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,729.14	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d97…080ebacked Yes	51c	7,796$3,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,859.08	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc0…61fbbacked Yes	47c	7,747$3,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,138.52	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.35per pick	50cpaid	+64.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	59c	7,729$4,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,158.18	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	24c	7,004$1,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.56	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes	79c	6,984$5,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,451.65	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	64c	6,549$4,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,386.17	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked No	69c	6,500$4,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,501	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x705b…7483backed Yes	70c	6,466$4,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,912.44	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?this page
Will Bloc Québécois party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
Will another party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
Will the Green Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
Will the People's party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event