AI · resolved market
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac1b6017f9447f21dfd69829b5d7b084aef5893f7ddd6abdca8d95f40238f398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,890,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,156,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,890,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d74…52f4backed Yes | 1c | 842,069$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,472.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed No | 70c | 648,272$456,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191,724.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4349…6f64backed Yes | 12c | 419,999$48,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,445.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6054…d55ebacked Yes | 1c | 292,111$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…7aeebacked Yes | 69c | 246,924$169,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,462.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…88f3backed Yes | 1c | 242,463$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…8a2fbacked Yes | 10c | 241,058$23,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,387.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Yes | 14c | 204,630$28,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,257.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…06d2backed Yes | 1c | 171,208$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x513b…9addbacked Yes | 2c | 142,069$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 6c | 119,276$6,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.63 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…1343backed Yes | 9c | 103,070$9,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,677.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac0…2f6ebacked Yes | 28c | 92,138$25,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,907.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 74c | 88,867$65,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,949.09 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes | 45c | 83,200$37,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06cc…0b12backed Yes | 0c | 79,362$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 70c | 71,626$49,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,632.73 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 60c | 63,570$37,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,620.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed Yes | 15c | 63,250$9,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,587.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…a5f0backed Yes | 1c | 60,655$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…80b0backed Yes | 10c | 55,895$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 4c | 55,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…4961backed Yes | 16c | 54,000$8,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,569.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…e5fcbacked Yes | 23c | 50,035$11,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,396.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 17c | 50,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.96 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf9…a028backed Yes | 51c | 48,487$24,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,970 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 11c | 47,000$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…baf0backed Yes | 14c | 43,778$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,024.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…5a8dbacked Yes | 24c | 42,387$9,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,988.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 77c | 42,134$32,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,615 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…36b0backed Yes | 12c | 42,069$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…c006backed Yes | 1c | 41,812$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…7bcfbacked Yes | 27c | 41,255$11,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,342.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…13c9backed Yes | 40c | 40,631$16,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,412.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 38c | 40,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 64c | 37,929$24,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,467.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 78c | 36,786$28,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,150.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…8167backed Yes | 12c | 36,531$4,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 34,947$7,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,486.48 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…1418backed Yes | 13c | 34,192$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…28a3backed Yes | 0c | 33,520$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 26c | 33,510$8,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,722.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 32,049$23,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,980.35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ee2dbacked Yes | 21c | 31,053$6,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,421.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Yes | 14c | 29,715$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 20c | 29,134$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.09 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 29,091$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.23 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…9223backed Yes | 15c | 28,995$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…ef34backed Yes | 1c | 28,719$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 52c | 28,347$14,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,611.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…5a02backed Yes | 13c | 27,789$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…d50fbacked Yes | 46c | 27,398$12,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,512.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 75c | 26,199$19,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,518.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 3c | 25,386$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.48 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 75c | 24,756$18,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,176.18 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 79c | 22,986$18,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,936.13 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 13c | 22,963$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.31 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…fd27backed Yes | 44c | 22,689$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 11c | 22,310$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…3b43backed Yes | 0c | 22,222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 61c | 21,499$13,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,294.63 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…a47fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,951$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…f132backed Yes | 14c | 20,841$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 26c | 20,816$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 67c | 19,562$13,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,390.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…e47fbacked Yes | 12c | 19,158$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…f757backed Yes | 18c | 18,779$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 16c | 18,341$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.85 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…e158backed Yes | 16c | 18,207$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…d440backed No | 71c | 18,173$12,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…b850backed Yes | 0c | 18,116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 79c | 17,663$14,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.45 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…7099backed Yes | 26c | 17,295$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 6c | 17,248$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.69 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…c9a2backed Yes | 12c | 17,221$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…a07ebacked Yes | 25c | 17,077$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…9528backed Yes | 17c | 16,771$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…bce6backed Yes | 24c | 16,664$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 16,448$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.8 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…566fbacked Yes | 12c | 16,304$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 68c | 16,300$11,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.09 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…81a8backed Yes | 19c | 16,088$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddff…f91abacked Yes | 59c | 15,715$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…9f9bbacked Yes | 11c | 15,553$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491a…d91bbacked Yes | 12c | 15,533$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cd…0ebcbacked Yes | 31c | 15,006$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…d256backed No | 70c | 14,431$10,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…434ebacked Yes | 19c | 14,324$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…92bfbacked Yes | 47c | 14,110$6,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,692.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…1865backed Yes | 25c | 13,948$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 73c | 13,877$10,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 1c | 13,794$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 50c | 13,210$6,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.16 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…6ad0backed Yes | 15c | 13,204$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes | 30c | 13,119$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…7e7abacked Yes | 0c | 12,965$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…3dfabacked Yes | 19c | 12,842$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a2…0f38backed No | 79c | 12,709$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…2d53backed Yes | 40c | 12,478$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.