MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ac7fc6b556ec88d6f64208eb06a56f3a0943cf313b8a1edf0da63165a85f688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Royals, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $817,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $818,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Royals | 49c | 500,000$245,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244,999.93 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels | 51c | 425,414$216,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,453.09 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Angels | 49c | 69,466$34,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,284.32 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Royals | 52c | 68,512$35,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,541.27 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Angels | 48c | 57,187$27,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,737.06 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Royals | 38c | 50,165$19,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,079.4 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels | 51c | 43,370$22,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,266.92 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Royals | 52c | 22,517$11,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,610.86 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Angels | 51c | 17,361$8,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,423.43 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Angels | 48c | 17,000$8,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,789.97 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Royals | 51c | 15,935$8,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,126.72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Angels | 51c | 15,375$7,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,533.75 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Royals | 50c | 14,853$7,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,426.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Angels | 69c | 13,033$8,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.95 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Angels | 50c | 11,944$5,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.73 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 50c | 10,111$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.25 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Angels | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Royals | 51c | 8,461$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.3 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 49c | 7,888$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.84 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Royals | 50c | 7,525$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.56 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 51c | 5,845$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Angels | 50c | 5,555$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.71 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Angels | 59c | 5,429$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.63 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Royals | 37c | 5,343$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Angels | 49c | 5,167$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.17 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Angels | 69c | 4,511$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.12 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Royals | 48c | 4,398$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.82 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Angels | 74c | 4,361$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.16 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Angels | 52c | 4,308$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.84 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Royals | 13c | 3,686$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Angels | 50c | 3,460$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.41 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Royals | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Royals | 28c | 2,525$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 77c | 2,405$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Angels | 80c | 2,326$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.46 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Angels | 49c | 2,050$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.21 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Royals | 25c | 2,007$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Royals | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Angels | 52c | 1,710$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.02 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Royals | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.84 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.62 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Royals | 51c | 1,415$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.81 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Royals | 4c | 1,378$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Angels | 53c | 1,231$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.62 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Angels | 49c | 1,098$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.45 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Angels | 46c | 1,088$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.56 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Royals | 25c | 1,019$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.28 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Royals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Angels | 51c | 941.18$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Angels | 50c | 875.92$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.96 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Angels | 48c | 875$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Royals | 33c | 835.37$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Angels | 52c | 813$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.92 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Angels | 59c | 812$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.24 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Royals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Royals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Angels | 51c | 666.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Angels | 50c | 604$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.04 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Angels | 79c | 601.07$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Royals | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Angels | 49c | 491$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.41 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 18c | 481.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 34c | 465.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Angels | 51c | 441.64$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Royals | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Royals | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 52c | 385$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Angels | 49c | 351.31$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Angels | 66c | 349$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels | 65c | 342.4$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Royals | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Angels | 51c | 277$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Angels | 50c | 264$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Angels | 54c | 234.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Royals | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Royals | 51c | 206.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels | 61c | 203.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…a734backed Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Angels | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Royals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…41e7backed Royals | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 21c | 175.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Angels | 68c | 175.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Angels | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…8268backed Royals | 51c | 166.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Royals | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…88e4backed Royals | 51c | 162.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Angels | 73c | 157.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Royals | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…1da2backed Royals | 51c | 152.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Royals | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Royals | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Angels | 51c | 146.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.