Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee3a389d0c1345900a200d0d11d241bd30bc05a6c761d69b741a967bf98830d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcce2…d58bbacked No | 23c | 53,683$12,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,288.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…924abacked Yes | 62c | 30,109$18,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,667.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…5986backed No | 38c | 30,109$11,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,667.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 77c | 26,202$20,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,181.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…9d34backed Yes | 64c | 14,810$9,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,446.96 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Yes | 64c | 7,344$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 73c | 5,729$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.17 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Yes | 80c | 4,911$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 35c | 3,245$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…ee71backed Yes | 78c | 3,211$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…b363backed Yes | 77c | 2,670$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 76c | 2,630$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked No | 19c | 2,022$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…6694backed Yes | 78c | 1,726$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 35c | 1,660$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…e944backed Yes | 75c | 1,330$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 33c | 1,200$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 74c | 1,106$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 36c | 865.26$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.45 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…5403backed Yes | 79c | 690$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 26c | 626.92$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 29c | 605.12$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.58 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0dc…247dbacked No | 21c | 590$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…2af1backed Yes | 65c | 570$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…f570backed No | 35c | 570$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 79c | 531.43$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 75c | 529.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.53 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 42c | 523.65$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.35 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 23c | 499.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 35c | 497.51$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +179.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e98fbacked No | 21c | 475$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…3ce7backed Yes | 67c | 462$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 80c | 460$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…ec85backed No | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 16c | 303.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…34d1backed Yes | 72c | 280.56$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…27b9backed No | 32c | 249.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…48c1backed Yes | 79c | 245$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…c284backed Yes | 66c | 237.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…eeaebacked Yes | 75c | 221.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0c…25dfbacked No | 30c | 217.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…74fdbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…f99ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdc…d95ebacked Yes | 77c | 166$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 75c | 162.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…a6c3backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 47c | 158.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…de39backed Yes | 44c | 140.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7377…6414backed No | 45c | 139.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 44c | 135.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 80c | 123.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…0371backed Yes | 65c | 115$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 25c | 107.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…0c6fbacked Yes | 75c | 107$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 65c | 105.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ea…79d8backed Yes | 75c | 105.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 101.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…f6e8backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaba…5c9ebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 69c | 96.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…d977backed No | 58c | 96.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 21c | 87.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 34c | 86.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 35c | 82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 28c | 82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…7b8bbacked Yes | 77c | 81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 80.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8264…845abacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…a69ebacked Yes | 54c | 74.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…c807backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…1df8backed Yes | 77c | 65.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…69f5backed Yes | 79c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…3f53backed Yes | 76c | 61.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4c8bbacked Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d0…f0b2backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9033…4970backed Yes | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…79eebacked Yes | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…76e9backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 30c | 43.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 26c | 43.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…e13ebacked No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…219dbacked No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170d…c42cbacked Yes | 79c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?this page
- Will a dozen eggs be above $6.00 in May?No won
- Will a dozen eggs be between $4.50-4.75 in May?Yes won
- Will a dozen eggs be between $4.75-5.00 in May?No won
- Will a dozen eggs be between $5.00-5.25 in May?No won
- Will a dozen eggs be between $5.25-5.50 in May?No won
- Will a dozen eggs be between $5.50-5.75 in May?No won
- Will a dozen eggs be between $5.75-6.00 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.