TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

South Dakota Coyotes vs. Kansas City Roos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Dakota Coyotesof South Dakota Coyotes, Kansas City Roos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked South Dakota Coyotes57c198,741$113,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,679.3589645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kansas City Roos43c90,000$38,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,70030249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kansas City Roos43c50,000$21,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,50069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas City Roos44c32,416$14,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,113.1390645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Kansas City Roos43c18,888$8,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,121.8410045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed South Dakota Coyotes56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas City Roos44c4,790$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.072,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Kansas City Roos44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked South Dakota Coyotes63c2,200$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.521,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kansas City Roos43c1,921$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.655,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Dakota Coyotes57c1,456$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.692,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kansas City Roos43c1,438$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.421,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked South Dakota Coyotes55c1,355$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.521,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Kansas City Roos43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas City Roos43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked Kansas City Roos2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20390%0 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed South Dakota Coyotes57c910$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.32,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kansas City Roos43c821.72$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked South Dakota Coyotes28c728.42$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.011,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed South Dakota Coyotes56c720.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.2494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed South Dakota Coyotes54c689.06$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.223,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kansas City Roos43c633.72$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kansas City Roos44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26416053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked South Dakota Coyotes57c528$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7437142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Kansas City Roos44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa17e…7584backed Kansas City Roos45c440.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed South Dakota Coyotes48c401$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4449747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Kansas City Roos50c396.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010846.3%50 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Kansas City Roos44c372.25$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7912846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed South Dakota Coyotes56c370.95$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.535,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Roos66c367.42$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.363,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Dakota Coyotes61c287.52$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.261,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Kansas City Roos44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kansas City Roos43c268$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2491848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Roos42c260.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.321,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed South Dakota Coyotes58c219.62$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.627648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e14…8d33backed South Dakota Coyotes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Kansas City Roos44c198.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.52839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed South Dakota Coyotes57c186.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1362451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Kansas City Roos43c175.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.576636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Dakota Coyotes59c165.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.024,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4712…b584backed Kansas City Roos47c160.87$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed Kansas City Roos43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed South Dakota Coyotes49c141.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.761,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Kansas City Roos51c132.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Kansas City Roos57c131.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Dakota Coyotes63c131$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.231,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Kansas City Roos44c131$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.646955.1%38 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed South Dakota Coyotes56c129.13$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Kansas City Roos49c116.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed South Dakota Coyotes37c108.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.52,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed South Dakota Coyotes40c103.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.383,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed South Dakota Coyotes57c101.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Kansas City Roos44c94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.364445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Kansas City Roos43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357839.7%31 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Kansas City Roos43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Kansas City Roos55c73.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Kansas City Roos43c67.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2924847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed South Dakota Coyotes35c65.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.719264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed South Dakota Coyotes72c61.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2110252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Kansas City Roos45c56.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6219653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Kansas City Roos52c55.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9336845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kansas City Roos45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Kansas City Roos43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.519848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas City Roos43c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Kansas City Roos41c48.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Kansas City Roos43c45.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7825436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a4…88d6backed Kansas City Roos43c45.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked South Dakota Coyotes44c41.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Kansas City Roos33c40.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc02f…772abacked Kansas City Roos69c40.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Kansas City Roos45c39.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Kansas City Roos45c39.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b5…1ccfbacked Kansas City Roos46c38.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.542619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed South Dakota Coyotes70c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.446446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Kansas City Roos40c34.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed South Dakota Coyotes56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.963748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Kansas City Roos42c33.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.941330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Kansas City Roos47c33.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.799259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65c1…c741backed South Dakota Coyotes41c31.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.592378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Kansas City Roos45c30.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7612355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed South Dakota Coyotes58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Kansas City Roos35c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked South Dakota Coyotes56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked Kansas City Roos41c27.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.083826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed South Dakota Coyotes56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.443259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c44…93efbacked Kansas City Roos40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked South Dakota Coyotes56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed South Dakota Coyotes56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561675%12 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3744…3e65backed Kansas City Roos43c23.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+105.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed South Dakota Coyotes56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed South Dakota Coyotes56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed South Dakota Coyotes59c22.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.392948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed South Dakota Coyotes63c20.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.511,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed South Dakota Coyotes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5330945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked South Dakota Coyotes57c19.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4719138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e26…c672backed South Dakota Coyotes56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.922157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed South Dakota Coyotes58c17.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3916140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed South Dakota Coyotes75c17.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.46154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.