TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finland

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Slovakiaof Slovakia, Finland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99bd…238ebacked Slovakia20c61,631$12,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,068.731838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Finland79c25,724$20,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,419.762737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Finland80c22,500$17,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,924.993616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Slovakia27c21,343$5,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,491.541233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Slovakia20c18,140$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,5121030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Finland80c16,302$13,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,041.552634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d6…f52bbacked Finland0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Slovakia17c10,635$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,827.221225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Slovakia34c9,680$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+195.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Slovakia19c9,328$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,556.312944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Finland54c8,487$4,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,580.633941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Finland63c8,420$5,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,307.932128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Finland62c8,252$5,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,111.241827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Slovakia42c6,815$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,925.74325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Slovakia20c6,478$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.94650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Finland55c5,855$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,210.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Finland74c5,150$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.46366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Slovakia18c5,000$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,074.972343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Slovakia22c4,730$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,669.08742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Slovakia37c4,007$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.021947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Slovakia18c3,966$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.941428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Slovakia18c3,710$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.121145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Finland44c3,538$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.092437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4985…28bdbacked Slovakia26c3,528$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+279.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Finland69c3,317$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.563818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Slovakia17c3,171$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+67%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Slovakia29c2,968$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.451435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Slovakia19c2,951$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Slovakia18c2,510$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.21338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Slovakia33c2,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.491442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Finland80c2,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Finland55c2,243$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.512725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-62.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Slovakia18c2,000$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6357627.6%21 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Slovakia37c1,779$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked Slovakia31c1,710$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Slovakia18c1,633$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Finland60c1,478$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Slovakia18c1,400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1481723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid-27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a58…4508backed Finland61c1,297$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8590…f9c6backed Finland42c1,277$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.3690%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Finland80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+55.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Finland55c1,209$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.782740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Finland43c1,150$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.32321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Slovakia23c1,145$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0abf…5e1fbacked Finland61c1,138$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Finland77c1,110$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Slovakia17c1,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8307035.7%25 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Finland79c998.75$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Slovakia25c989.01$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.561421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Slovakia41c946.42$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.382437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Finland10c918.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.981040%4 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Finland36c916.41$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.958237.8%31 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d44…11d5backed Finland62c905.39$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Slovakia28c883.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Finland62c882.66$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.521330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Slovakia19c875$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.751442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5b…1ab3backed Slovakia19c800$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Finland77c779.22$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Finland37c753.01$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Finland33c719.46$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e9…be4bbacked Finland70c624.97$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Slovakia18c603$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.46922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Slovakia20c600$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc87…e026backed Finland62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Finland76c588.68$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-69.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Finland68c541.3$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3681040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe57…721cbacked Slovakia18c533.78$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+85.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Slovakia28c527.84$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.841323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Finland24c500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1197133.8%24 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Finland70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Finland79c443$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.972025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Slovakia17c419.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.571936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Slovakia18c418.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.14520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Finland76c415$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Slovakia25c400$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.51520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…05f9backed Finland77c390.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…17ffbacked Slovakia18c390.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Slovakia20c385.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Finland80c375$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Slovakia18c347.22$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Finland30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…e88ebacked Finland60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Slovakia20c330$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Finland62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Finland69c289.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Slovakia24c283.09$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.241258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+49.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd5…6428backed Finland77c280$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.171040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a0d…9661backed Slovakia18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.78633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e4…22cbbacked Finland64c274.49$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69cf…ca78backed Slovakia19c264.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.58714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Slovakia18c260$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed Finland77c250$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Finland65c247.34$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa224…8c93backed Slovakia19c230.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.892236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…ce8ebacked Finland66c228.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe761…6e67backed Slovakia19c228.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.24520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed Finland77c222.14$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Finland32c219.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Slovakia25c216.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.564020%8 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Slovakia18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1642825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.