Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x751ce2289f5ecb26ffb8c33a14cffce080fafe241c1c49eb4ac47b658106ef38

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: NRGof Leviatán Esports, NRG
Resolved: May 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $144,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $177,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,445 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfa39…bb64backed NRG	58c	20,728$12,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,671.6	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+5.9wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Leviatán Esports	1c	20,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Leviatán Esports	42c	6,666$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.72	241	45.2%109 W · 132 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Leviatán Esports	41c	6,414$2,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,647.04	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG	62c	4,589$2,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,729.38	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Leviatán Esports	56c	2,791$1,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,571.14	93	71%66 W · 27 L	+15.6wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Leviatán Esports	39c	2,542$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	196	48.5%95 W · 101 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Leviatán Esports	58c	2,015$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175.69	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Leviatán Esports	54c	1,816$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.61	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Leviatán Esports	30c	1,722$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG	73c	1,550$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.63	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x749f…6be1backed Leviatán Esports	18c	1,526$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.66	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Leviatán Esports	50c	1,379$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.75	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Leviatán Esports	44c	1,278$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.73	266	34.6%92 W · 174 L	-13.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG	71c	1,198$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.39	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Leviatán Esports	52c	999.66$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.17	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Leviatán Esports	52c	999.23$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.8	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Leviatán Esports	46c	853.67$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.98	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG	49c	797.75$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.76	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Leviatán Esports	56c	762.58$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.19	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed NRG	53c	750$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.5	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed NRG	48c	732.62$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.4	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed NRG	51c	600$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.61	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Leviatán Esports	45c	540.09$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.01	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Leviatán Esports	44c	425.92$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.2	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed NRG	78c	383.95$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.95	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked NRG	51c	383.36$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.29	240	32.1%77 W · 163 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed NRG	27c	370.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.37	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked NRG	65c	367.64$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.67	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf909…f517backed Leviatán Esports	46c	349.99$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.99	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NRG	53c	343.3$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.25	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed NRG	40c	307.5$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.5	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5c…2b44backed Leviatán Esports	34c	300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked NRG	54c	278.57$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.44	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Leviatán Esports	39c	262$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.18	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed NRG	74c	250$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed NRG	43c	200$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Leviatán Esports	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Leviatán Esports	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Leviatán Esports	53c	186.98$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed NRG	33c	180$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.6	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Leviatán Esports	56c	170.29$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.59	385	48.6%187 W · 198 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed NRG	50c	158.81$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.49	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed NRG	52c	153.1$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.1	225	42.7%96 W · 129 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Leviatán Esports	38c	149.87$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.44	278	50%139 W · 139 L	+21.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed NRG	36c	134.52$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.52	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed Leviatán Esports	47c	124.22$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.96	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG	68c	119.99$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.98	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Leviatán Esports	55c	112.39$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.1	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Leviatán Esports	25c	96$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Leviatán Esports	25c	91.76$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.94	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f2…2a5dbacked NRG	75c	88.7$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c9…c678backed NRG	52c	87.44$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.12	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b8…0418backed Leviatán Esports	43c	78.33$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Leviatán Esports	22c	67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	664	38.1%253 W · 411 L	-31.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Leviatán Esports	72c	63.89$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	27	63%17 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171b…9c6fbacked NRG	50c	61.01$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.67	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Leviatán Esports	63c	50.96$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.33	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Leviatán Esports	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22bc…b0b2backed Leviatán Esports	55c	47.42$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Leviatán Esports	47c	46.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leviatán Esports	34c	46.25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed NRG	48c	40.15$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.86	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+4.1wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Leviatán Esports	34c	38.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.09	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3537…3419backed NRG	67c	38.26$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed NRG	54c	37.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NRG	61c	37.12$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.51	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked NRG	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG	67c	36.21$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa300…24c7backed Leviatán Esports	42c	36.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Leviatán Esports	30c	35.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	305	44.3%135 W · 170 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Leviatán Esports	49c	35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.15	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked NRG	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	306	52.3%160 W · 146 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed NRG	45c	31.37$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.3	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Leviatán Esports	36c	30.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked NRG	45c	30.34$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.78	204	39.2%80 W · 124 L	-18.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96db…499fbacked NRG	74c	28.15$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.32	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c49…c6c2backed Leviatán Esports	47c	25.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	63cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Leviatán Esports	42c	24.58$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	183	3.3%6 W · 177 L	-73.1wins	-0.40per pick	43cpaid	-93.1%equal weight	11-0.35 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG	78c	24.36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.36	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d3…b26cbacked Leviatán Esports	45c	22.76$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2NRG won
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event