Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ea6e872104a655951ebebd05734ed9e2805d5e7b11867fc82b46a0678ccdb54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed NRG | 67c | 94,988$63,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,345.89 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 6,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked NRG | 80c | 4,978$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.63 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2a5dbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 4,908$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 4,422$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed NRG | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 3,390$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.52 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed NRG | 66c | 2,376$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.33 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 2,231$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed NRG | 76c | 2,007$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,736$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 1,426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…5207backed NRG | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed NRG | 70c | 1,392$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.74 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed NRG | 66c | 1,384$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa979…0615backed NRG | 72c | 1,378$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NRG | 69c | 1,361$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed NRG | 64c | 1,300$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.41 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 1,295$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 76c | 1,200$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 1,137$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed NRG | 66c | 1,129$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.84 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed NRG | 62c | 1,078$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed NRG | 68c | 843.11$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.91 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 750$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed NRG | 73c | 718.58$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 700.29$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.73 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 627.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 615.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked 100 Thieves | 23c | 610.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked NRG | 63c | 511.08$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…7355backed NRG | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed 100 Thieves | 11c | 444.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed NRG | 65c | 425.35$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.87 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed NRG | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 398.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 70c | 394.56$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 388.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed NRG | 66c | 346.28$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed NRG | 64c | 346$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 74c | 344.15$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked NRG | 79c | 316.64$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 301.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 295.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 279$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…42b4backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 271.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NRG | 70c | 258.95$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed NRG | 69c | 253$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed NRG | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed NRG | 64c | 249.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 248.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked NRG | 70c | 235.04$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 72c | 230.72$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed NRG | 76c | 216.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked NRG | 71c | 210$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 209.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 194.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…8bacbacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 185.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5d…e01bbacked NRG | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 170.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked NRG | 78c | 162$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7034…bcf8backed NRG | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…19b8backed NRG | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed NRG | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 141.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked NRG | 75c | 133.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked NRG | 75c | 132.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked NRG | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed NRG | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked NRG | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed NRG | 72c | 94.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…1e84backed NRG | 65c | 83.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked NRG | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…55cabacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…d4fbbacked NRG | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…ea80backed NRG | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…a5dbbacked NRG | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…f4f0backed NRG | 66c | 69.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 76c | 67.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed NRG | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 61.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed NRG | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…9173backed NRG | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f86…61dfbacked NRG | 65c | 60.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.