Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d7b795e2dab88af00b5b40545292701243aecb69b5276f2844dcfcc86ad084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2218…9467backed NRG | 66c | 3,053$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked NRG | 68c | 2,133$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.56 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 1,244$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.25 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 840.77$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.09 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked NRG | 75c | 730.29$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.58 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.29 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 664.6$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 658.86$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 413.62$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 373.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed NRG | 71c | 328.93$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked NRG | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed NRG | 68c | 253.87$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 180.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…991cbacked NRG | 74c | 135.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…e7a5backed NRG | 63c | 105.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…a519backed NRG | 76c | 95.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 80.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 61.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked NRG | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…4a25backed NRG | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…8016backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 50.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed NRG | 61c | 40.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c65…6a0cbacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…f4f0backed NRG | 67c | 36.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…fd78backed NRG | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed NRG | 59c | 20.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.