Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa8bc44294a8a352a967859242875c41a35025ac5c0ed4e8d6dd52b1aaa0ebd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 9,649$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.65 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 66c | 4,393$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.63 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed NRG | 65c | 3,296$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.4 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed NRG | 63c | 2,805$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.88 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 1,590$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.36 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG | 61c | 1,557$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.99 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 1,223$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.2 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9467backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed NRG | 57c | 1,088$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.94 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 1,022$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 929.61$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.9 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 54c | 870.29$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.1 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 603.35$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.71 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed NRG | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 280$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 265.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed NRG | 58c | 222.59$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked NRG | 67c | 209.77$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed NRG | 61c | 208.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 200.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed NRG | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed NRG | 55c | 199.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 156.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed NRG | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…a519backed NRG | 65c | 145.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked NRG | 79c | 142.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed NRG | 75c | 123.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8413…652dbacked NRG | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed NRG | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed NRG | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…4a25backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed NRG | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked NRG | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed NRG | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked NRG | 66c | 46.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 43.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked NRG | 71c | 39.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…7723backed NRG | 63c | 36.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked NRG | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…dc1bbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…fd78backed NRG | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 17.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…5d02backed NRG | 72c | 16.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.