Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12855a48f788249eb0a49198c9b1770f49b58cddbcdef6a9b118ac06d5ac34a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 54,500$41,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,036.66 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 33,000$9,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,986.51 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 26,511$5,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,614.3 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 23,318$17,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.06 | 575 | 46.3%266 W · 309 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 22,849$16,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,567.66 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…4c59backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 21,178$16,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.61 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 15,069$10,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,474.8 | 253 | 68.4%173 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 13,784$10,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.17 | 1,300 | 45.2%587 W · 713 L | +50.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 11,485$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.95 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 11,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 10,491$7,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.3 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 10,328$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 760 | 30.3%230 W · 530 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 10,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 9,092$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.96 | 1,158 | 49.2%570 W · 588 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…beffbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 8,801$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.92 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 8,266$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.46 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 7,660$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.44 | 861 | 36.2%312 W · 549 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 7,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.94 | 464 | 64%297 W · 167 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 6,413$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.59 | 997 | 56.6%564 W · 433 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 5,325$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.33 | 289 | 59.2%171 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 4,994$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.88 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 4,986$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.13 | 885 | 44.3%392 W · 493 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 4,549$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.88 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 4,248$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 3,838$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.05 | 637 | 46.5%296 W · 341 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 3,193$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.99 | 814 | 43.5%354 W · 460 L | +30.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,190$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 3,070$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.79 | 1,071 | 47.1%504 W · 567 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,734$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.09 | 1,219 | 54.5%664 W · 555 L | +52.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,677$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.81 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 2,417$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.12 | 1,005 | 54%543 W · 462 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 2,302$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.5 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 2,260$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.94 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 2,123$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.84 | 679 | 57.9%393 W · 286 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 2,017$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.84 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 904 | 43.6%394 W · 510 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 1,441 | 57.4%827 W · 614 L | +35.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 1,968$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.52 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,957$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.41 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…c838backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 1,718$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,700$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,564$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 1,523$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.86 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,450$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,423$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 166 | 36.1%60 W · 106 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 1,370$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,289$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.14 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,248$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,230$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 136 | 32.4%44 W · 92 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,216$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.93 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,208$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 483 | 38.7%187 W · 296 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,190$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 287 | 34.1%98 W · 189 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,159$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.45 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 1,050$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.08 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,026$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.53 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 598 | 54.2%324 W · 274 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 664 | 59.8%397 W · 267 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…71d0backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 999$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 951.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 518 | 48.3%250 W · 268 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 880$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 1,456 | 13.2%192 W · 1,264 L | -111.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 847.09$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 820.62$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…4d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 799.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 756.12$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…bcc2backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 721.46$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 702.38$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.69 | 365 | 60.3%220 W · 145 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 633.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…d6eabacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 618.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 606.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 599.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 599.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 579.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 555.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…2978backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 538.4$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 531.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 512.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 506.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,412 | 43.8%618 W · 794 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…521bbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2a5dbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +21.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 499.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 488.09$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 470.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 442.97$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.