Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9947d68982ce9c3d06a536d7c267f45add5746b4a704c433b5eb6cf7d21e5ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 68c | 16,150$10,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,173.47 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 32c | 9,999$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.68 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 32c | 6,500$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 30c | 4,706$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.6 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Over | 39c | 2,851$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.85 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 74c | 2,493$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.82 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 68c | 2,090$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.74 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 69c | 1,845$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.97 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 71c | 1,275$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.39 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 32c | 1,221$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.35 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…bcc2backed Under | 60c | 625$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 29c | 623$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.48 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 26c | 622.16$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.4 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 71c | 620.2$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Under | 32c | 607$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 32c | 590.6$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 33c | 540$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 458.54$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 34c | 433.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed Over | 67c | 346.46$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 33c | 341.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 29c | 328.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…3fabbacked Under | 63c | 317.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Over | 67c | 296.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 443 | 50.8%225 W · 218 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Under | 68c | 290$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 60c | 269.17$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 42c | 268.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 32c | 249$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 31c | 180.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 29c | 154$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 30c | 142.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 65c | 136.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 46c | 129.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 30c | 122.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 26c | 63.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 41c | 59.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked Under | 55c | 53.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Under | 71c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 30c | 43.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 32c | 43.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…4f28backed Under | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 246 | 55.3%136 W · 110 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…102cbacked Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 31.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 47c | 26.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Over | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Over | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Over | 69c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.