TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Karmine Corp, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5286…0d47backed Karmine Corp32c105,202$33,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,250.1227637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere69c87,859$60,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,172.731,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp30c24,888$7,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,354.3291854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere69c12,000$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7201,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Natus Vincere72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6809853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Natus Vincere68c4,625$3,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.3335054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Natus Vincere55c4,249$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.1815146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere51c3,870$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.932,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere71c3,500$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01559554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Natus Vincere71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp48c2,355$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.61,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Natus Vincere42c1,278$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.7110150.5%51 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Karmine Corp28c1,252$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34637640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Natus Vincere71c880$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.216048.1%77 W · 83 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d38…f0c7backed Karmine Corp50c866.16$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.883863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed Natus Vincere69c840$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.428350.2%142 W · 141 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere50c816.92$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4659248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere71c570.94$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4986144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Natus Vincere71c506.06$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14896149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Natus Vincere72c499.99$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14264453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere57c439.18$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.762,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Natus Vincere70c418.56$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9324650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Natus Vincere74c399.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049160.4%55 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Karmine Corp38c399.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Karmine Corp55c368.95$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7915357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Karmine Corp62c365.49$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.8932755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Natus Vincere71c329.58$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5896054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ec…4526backed Karmine Corp64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Natus Vincere72c299.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848055%44 W · 36 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x633f…2104backed Karmine Corp30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802387%20 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp27c195.83$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.561,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Karmine Corp33c169.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5664435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Karmine Corp60c164.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5322265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Karmine Corp71c151.01$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6415956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Karmine Corp30c139.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1779745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511d…3633backed Karmine Corp58c131.48$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6416356.4%92 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33f6…bcc2backed Karmine Corp59c117.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.532236.4%8 W · 14 L-5.6wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Karmine Corp29c103.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022741%93 W · 134 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Natus Vincere62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3821945.2%99 W · 120 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Natus Vincere69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3149756.3%280 W · 217 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd9…be42backed Natus Vincere53c94.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.582152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Karmine Corp25c79.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8752750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Natus Vincere71c79.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Natus Vincere69c69.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6218952.9%100 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Natus Vincere73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4961150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Natus Vincere71c66.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.428559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3f1…cae0backed Karmine Corp66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.641947%197 W · 222 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Natus Vincere71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3458155.6%323 W · 258 L+17.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Karmine Corp54c55.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3069247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Natus Vincere73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7923880.3%191 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Karmine Corp27c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.537650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe9…dc0abacked Karmine Corp52c48.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Natus Vincere71c43.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.521030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5181…b4a2backed Karmine Corp78c43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5411060.9%67 W · 43 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Natus Vincere71c41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8933153.2%176 W · 155 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Natus Vincere75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1033263.6%211 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Natus Vincere56c39.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.625151%128 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Natus Vincere71c39.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere48c38.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe22f…49b1backed Natus Vincere54c38.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.891060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+45.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Karmine Corp43c34.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528759.9%172 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Natus Vincere73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2513560%81 W · 54 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Karmine Corp43c34.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7342055.2%232 W · 188 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b52…d7e8backed Karmine Corp32c31.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Natus Vincere68c31.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0662649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Karmine Corp48c31.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531750.8%161 W · 156 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…6b86backed Natus Vincere67c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.545945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f3…7d20backed Natus Vincere54c27.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.376446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Natus Vincere78c25.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7524257%138 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Karmine Corp71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.257655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Natus Vincere75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511354%61 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Natus Vincere67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Karmine Corp53c19.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.129258.7%54 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Natus Vincere69c17.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5522758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x470b…0d90backed Karmine Corp60c17.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.461050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Natus Vincere71c16.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.810138.6%39 W · 62 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Natus Vincere72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.239555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.