MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b0392513180fc88aa41c944cdf510762fbc4d02647c2b49c68b73ce9fbf2de

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington Nationalsof San Diego Padres, Washington Nationals
Resolved: May 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $773,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $803,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $773,963 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb91a…3987backed San Diego Padres	52c	209,571$108,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108,356.19	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Washington Nationals	49c	60,000$29,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,599.87	133	40.6%54 W · 79 L	-14.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres	51c	39,216$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres	27c	36,551$9,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,921.73	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals	47c	31,000$14,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,520	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals	50c	30,666$15,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,447.3	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked San Diego Padres	25c	28,306$7,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,194.64	211	47.9%101 W · 110 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Washington Nationals	49c	25,500$12,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,005	154	51.9%80 W · 74 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Washington Nationals	48c	22,603$10,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,753.73	188	60.1%113 W · 75 L	+14.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+237.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Washington Nationals	49c	20,300$9,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,353	274	52.6%144 W · 130 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres	54c	15,990$8,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,634.75	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals	48c	15,625$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,125	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Washington Nationals	48c	15,000$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,800	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres	54c	15,000$8,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,099.98	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres	51c	14,342$7,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,314.5	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres	9c	13,886$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.18	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals	50c	13,510$6,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,808.24	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Washington Nationals	48c	12,600$6,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,552	178	53.4%95 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals	48c	12,458$6,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,449.83	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Washington Nationals	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,400	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Diego Padres	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres	51c	9,803$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.53	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Washington Nationals	46c	9,395$4,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,073.41	172	48.8%84 W · 88 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres	34c	8,821$2,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,959.71	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Washington Nationals	78c	8,800$6,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,936	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals	57c	8,756$4,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,757.72	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals	48c	7,613$3,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,958.76	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres	50c	6,484$3,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,266.19	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals	48c	6,087$2,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,165.46	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres	52c	5,703$2,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,987.15	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Washington Nationals	49c	5,576$2,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,843.95	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres	35c	5,088$1,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790.14	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed San Diego Padres	52c	4,696$2,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,441.72	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres	23c	4,523$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.61	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed San Diego Padres	53c	4,490$2,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,360.44	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres	50c	4,433$2,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,216.45	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed San Diego Padres	45c	4,313$1,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,933.46	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-5.8wins	-0.24per pick	45cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Washington Nationals	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Washington Nationals	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Washington Nationals	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Washington Nationals	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals	48c	3,963$1,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,053.56	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Washington Nationals	50c	3,954$1,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,977	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres	50c	3,885$1,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,956.26	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Washington Nationals	47c	3,879$1,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,055.83	2,045	53.8%1,100 W · 945 L	+32.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Washington Nationals	48c	3,331$1,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,731.96	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Washington Nationals	48c	3,282$1,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,696.5	174	60.9%106 W · 68 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed Washington Nationals	48c	3,257$1,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,693.64	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals	70c	2,979$2,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$905.42	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals	67c	2,826$1,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.92	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked San Diego Padres	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	505	3.8%19 W · 486 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres	50c	2,433$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212.48	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres	32c	2,412$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.09	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres	52c	2,200$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.76	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9324…7fbdbacked San Diego Padres	53c	2,188$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,159.64	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed San Diego Padres	15c	2,182$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.53	739	49.8%368 W · 371 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Washington Nationals	48c	2,147$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,108.22	241	50.6%122 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Washington Nationals	50c	2,030$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.23	206	48.1%99 W · 107 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals	49c	2,000$970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04a…7cffbacked San Diego Padres	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres	40c	1,938$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.24	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed San Diego Padres	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	192	46.9%90 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals	49c	1,836$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.36	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals	46c	1,800$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$972	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals	78c	1,779$1,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.65	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Washington Nationals	48c	1,761$845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.67	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres	15c	1,659$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.85	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d4c…fc89backed San Diego Padres	55c	1,600$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	298	43.6%130 W · 168 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Washington Nationals	49c	1,597$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.36	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed San Diego Padres	50c	1,511$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.4	338	64.2%217 W · 121 L	+23.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Washington Nationals	48c	1,469$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.88	174	52.9%92 W · 82 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres	14c	1,452$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.58	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed San Diego Padres	42c	1,447$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.36	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5c5…5dccbacked Washington Nationals	59c	1,410$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked San Diego Padres	53c	1,321$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	208	48.1%100 W · 108 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Washington Nationals	48c	1,250$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Washington Nationals	48c	1,200$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals	49c	1,200$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed San Diego Padres	51c	1,194$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.18	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals	49c	1,160$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.84	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Washington Nationals	49c	1,144$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.5	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fe…f03dbacked Washington Nationals	48c	1,100$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres	27c	1,092$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed San Diego Padres	52c	1,091$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.13	347	56.5%196 W · 151 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa252…dbf4backed Washington Nationals	72c	1,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	50	70%35 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadd5…ce89backed San Diego Padres	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed San Diego Padres	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres	54c	946$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.92	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Washington Nationals	48c	942$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.84	515	47%242 W · 273 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked San Diego Padres	28c	909.97$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.44	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals	48c	894.25$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.01	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Washington Nationals	48c	833.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.33	323	50.5%163 W · 160 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres	22c	813.2$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.82	5,126	54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L	+231.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres	33c	811.47$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.99	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals	66c	808.1$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.75	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9783…dccabacked Washington Nationals	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	73	54.8%40 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed San Diego Padres	51c	768.64$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed San Diego Padres	15c	767.1$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.94	717	50.1%359 W · 358 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event