MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x913633c10642069b08c33825a22c7fcc0256ad1f45f1c0e2fb6adcac10aaf2c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 53c | 213,631$113,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,595.45 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 47c | 88,888$41,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,777.36 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 56,435$26,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,282.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 38c | 16,186$6,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 12,351$5,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,793 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 78c | 5,071$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.43 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 4,689$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 3,736$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.82 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.41 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 2,168$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.24 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 2,103$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.73 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 2,083$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.78 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 1,751$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Under | 66c | 1,681$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.15 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,634$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.95 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 1,338$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.12 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…f03dbacked Over | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 53c | 661$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 595.81$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.03 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 53c | 566.77$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.74 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 521.68$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8174…e416backed Over | 47c | 397.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…1bc0backed Under | 79c | 365.07$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4498…473dbacked Under | 54c | 318.48$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 301.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 291.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 289$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 31c | 277$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over | 47c | 272.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Under | 79c | 252.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Over | 48c | 207.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 186.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 27c | 166.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 53c | 163.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 64c | 160.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 146.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 53c | 140.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 79c | 120.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 47c | 104.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Over | 18c | 87.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 79c | 81.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…f901backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 47c | 71.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 57c | 64.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 47c | 64.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Over | 49c | 55.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…b662backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Over | 47c | 53.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 44c | 52.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…dc02backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…70eabacked Under | 55c | 45.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 47c | 42.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 57c | 37.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 47c | 37.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 53c | 30.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…a0c2backed Over | 46c | 28.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked Over | 47c | 27.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 27.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Under | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 74c | 25.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 79c | 21.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 55c | 20.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.