TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Pacers, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,903,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,937,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,903,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe686…13cbbacked Pacers35c154,000$53,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,9002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks66c142,103$94,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,900.562,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Pacers37c135,810$50,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,596.8439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks65c99,548$64,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,755.712,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Hawks65c90,179$58,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,527.5419560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Pacers34c53,626$18,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,232.96841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks65c52,308$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,307.681,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Hawks57c47,182$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,181.7822458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers34c42,887$14,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,581.7451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers33c35,921$11,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,854.0587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks54c35,038$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,037.911,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Pacers35c31,046$10,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,866.127747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f10…76b3backed Pacers72c30,000$21,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,546.571855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Pacers33c29,567$9,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,757.155541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers59c28,612$16,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,930.475,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Hawks67c28,600$19,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4386358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks38c26,715$10,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,492.581,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked Pacers33c21,000$6,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9302334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks36c20,752$7,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,273.421,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Pacers55c20,183$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers35c20,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Hawks53c19,002$10,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,931.013256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Pacers37c15,769$5,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,888.599640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Pacers60c15,155$9,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,018.219852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Pacers47c15,068$7,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,080.3712143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pacers2c14,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks66c13,681$8,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19c…1e99backed Hawks42c13,096$5,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,630.521250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Hawks52c12,305$6,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,906.5317646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Hawks66c12,174$8,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.1630845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers51c11,131$5,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,721.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Pacers47c10,747$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,086.812733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers34c10,664$3,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Pacers33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.996540%26 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9929055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Pacers31c9,782$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.8810448.1%50 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Pacers64c9,504$6,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,036.416848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Pacers0c9,416$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.831234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pacers35c9,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pacers35c8,922$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.8760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Hawks66c8,713$5,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.5816550.3%83 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Pacers35c8,547$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hawks66c8,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,72046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers43c7,949$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.4885344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks65c7,572$4,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Hawks65c7,501$4,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.3113148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers35c7,500$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Pacers34c7,500$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9914055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed Pacers55c7,268$4,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,013.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks49c7,044$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.51,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Hawks47c7,022$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,723.9689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers0c7,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Pacers34c7,000$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Pacers35c6,767$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.4513239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Pacers34c6,600$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.1226247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Pacers34c6,401$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.3223257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks39c6,114$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,715.672,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers32c6,000$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.9980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pacers35c5,935$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.341954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Pacers33c5,799$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.5821549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks54c5,581$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.842,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked Pacers59c5,490$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pacers33c5,145$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.9228649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Hawks66c4,972$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.282944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Hawks66c4,678$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.1716863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks51c4,585$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.911,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Hawks66c4,559$3,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.921464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pacers34c4,553$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.8828742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Pacers34c4,538$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9153939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Pacers33c4,521$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.6995651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xface…d8a2backed Hawks67c4,500$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.187154.9%39 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks51c4,300$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.2259653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers35c4,286$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c4,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.118820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Hawks75c4,180$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.9956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers33c4,133$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks49c4,102$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.793,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers45c4,047$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.8548845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Pacers33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3209758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hawks49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0401,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Hawks67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.986767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed Pacers34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks54c3,802$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.923,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Hawks53c3,774$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.616165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Pacers34c3,702$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.555346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers35c3,575$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.21,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks65c3,570$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.6672450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Pacers22c3,502$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.81040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Hawks73c3,470$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.113520%7 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac87…88c7backed Pacers42c3,454$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.34134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…7edcbacked Hawks58c3,454$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.34365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pacers65c3,416$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.2376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pacers26c3,414$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.5624831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Pacers34c3,263$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.2734654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers34c3,235$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Hawks65c3,215$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.386848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Hawks60c3,150$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.2833428.1%94 W · 240 L-20.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Pacers33c3,126$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02440041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Hawks66c3,119$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.674639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Pacers34c3,096$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.7715141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.